Clermont Foot 1–1 Laval: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Clermont Foot

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Laval

M. Bassouamina 51'

K. Zohi 57'

1/18/2025

Ligue 2 · Round 19Stade Gabriel-Montpied

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 94+ matches

Clermont Foot44%

×Draw28%

Laval28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Clermont FootExpected goals in this matchLaval

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.31

0.98

Clermont Foot

1.31

Laval

0.98

Clermont Foot creates 34% more chances

Season form · 94 home / 97 away

1.31

creates per match

0.94

1.03

allows per match

1.30

creates per match

Clermont Foot

1.31

Laval

0.94

allows per match

Clermont Foot

1.03

Laval

1.30

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Clermont Foot+0.00on par

Laval+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clermont Foot ↓

Laval →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Clermont Foot or draw

72%

Clermont Foot or Laval

72%

Draw or Laval

56%

Winning margin

Clermont Foot wins by 2+

20%

Laval wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Clermont Foot 1+ goals

73%

Clermont Foot 2+ goals

38%

Clermont Foot 3+ goals

14%

Laval 1+ goals

62%

Laval 2+ goals

26%

Laval 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)

61%

Laval (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clermont Foot at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.03 · 94 matches

Laval away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.30 · 97 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clermont Foot attack 1.31 + Laval defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.31

Laval attack 0.94 + Clermont Foot defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Clermont Foot scores more

44%

level

28%

Laval scores more

28%

Clermont Foot at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Clermont Foot will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

S. Sanna

Laval · M

7.7

Match Events

28'

Jimmy Roye

29'

Mamadou Samassa

32'

Yadaly DiabyGoal cancelled

34'

M. Hautbois← M. Samassa

45+1'

Jérémy Jacquet

51'

M. Bassouamina↳ C. Konaté

52'

Johan Gastien

57'

K. Zohi↳ S. Sanna

70'

M. Sellouki← J. Tell

70'

S. Doucouré← M. Tchokounté

70'

A. Cherni← M. Adiléhou

75'

Thibault Vargas

77'

A. Maurer← M. Douane

77'

Y. Armougom← Y. Diaby

80'

I. M'Bahia← C. Konaté

83'

T. Thomas← K. Zohi

84'

M. Baaloudj← M. Bassouamina

85'

T. Diagouraga← H. Keïta

89'

Yohan Tavares

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ClermontLaval

Overview

62%Possession38%

10Total Shots12

4Corners4

9Fouls23

Shots

10Total Shots12

5On Target2

4Off Target3

1Blocked7

9Inside Box9

1Outside Box3

Passing

62%Possession38%

520Total Passes321

448Accurate Passes240

86%Pass Accuracy75%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

9Fouls23

2Yellow Cards4

2Offsides2

Ligue 2: Clermont Foot 1–1 Laval

Clermont Foot and Laval drew 1-1 in Ligue 2 on January 18, 2025.

Goals: M. Bassouamina (51'), K. Zohi (57').

Clermont Foot controlled possession (62%) and registered 10 shots to 12.

The match was played at Stade Gabriel-Montpied in Clermont-Ferrand.

Clermont Foot vs Laval — Ligue 2 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Ligue 2: Clermont Foot 1–1 Laval