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Lausanne vs Yverdon Sport — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Lausanne
Lausanne
Preview
13:00
Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport
7/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
Big match
50%
Yverdon Sport
model favours
25%25%50%

Lausanne score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Lausanne25%
×Draw25%
Yverdon Sport50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lausanne
1.06
Yverdon Sport
1.60

Yverdon Sport creates 51% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 5 away

creates per match

Lausanne
1.92
Yverdon Sport
2.20

allows per match

Lausanne
1.00
Yverdon Sport
0.20

finishing

Lausanne+0.00on par
Yverdon Sport+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lausanne ↓

Yverdon Sport →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–111%
0–29%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–112%
1–210%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Lausanne or draw
50%
Lausanne or Yverdon Sport
75%
Draw or Yverdon Sport
75%

Winning margin

Lausanne wins by 2+
9%
Yverdon Sport wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

Lausanne 1+ goals
65%
Lausanne 2+ goals
29%
Lausanne 3+ goals
9%
Yverdon Sport 1+ goals
80%
Yverdon Sport 2+ goals
47%
Yverdon Sport 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Lausanne (draw refunded)
34%
Yverdon Sport (draw refunded)
66%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lausanne at home — creates 1.92, concedes 1.00 · 12 matches

Yverdon Sport away — creates 2.20, concedes 0.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lausanne attack 1.92 + Yverdon Sport defence 0.20 → ÷2 → 1.06

Yverdon Sport attack 2.20 + Lausanne defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Lausanne scores more
25%
level
25%
Yverdon Sport scores more
50%

Yverdon Sport at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Yverdon Sport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 67% of Lausanne’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Lausanne
LWLWW
Sport
LWDDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Lausanne host Yverdon Sport

July 18, 2026: Lausanne take on Yverdon Sport in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.