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Lausanne vs Yverdon Sport — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Lausanne
Lausanne
CANC
14:00
Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport
6/29/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5Terrain de La Sarraz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Lausanne29%
×Draw26%
Yverdon Sport46%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lausanne
1.13
Yverdon Sport
1.50

Yverdon Sport creates 33% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 4 away

creates per match

Lausanne
2.00
Yverdon Sport
2.00

allows per match

Lausanne
1.00
Yverdon Sport
0.25

finishing

Lausanne+0.00on par
Yverdon Sport+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lausanne ↓

Yverdon Sport →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–111%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Lausanne or draw
54%
Lausanne or Yverdon Sport
74%
Draw or Yverdon Sport
71%

Winning margin

Lausanne wins by 2+
11%
Yverdon Sport wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Lausanne 1+ goals
68%
Lausanne 2+ goals
31%
Lausanne 3+ goals
11%
Yverdon Sport 1+ goals
78%
Yverdon Sport 2+ goals
44%
Yverdon Sport 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Lausanne (draw refunded)
38%
Yverdon Sport (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lausanne at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Yverdon Sport away — creates 2.00, concedes 0.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lausanne attack 2.00 + Yverdon Sport defence 0.25 → ÷2 → 1.13

Yverdon Sport attack 2.00 + Lausanne defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Lausanne scores more
29%
level
26%
Yverdon Sport scores more
46%

Yverdon Sport at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Yverdon Sport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Lausanne vs Yverdon Sport — Match Preview

Lausanne face Yverdon Sport on June 29, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Lausanne host Yverdon Sport at Terrain de La Sarraz.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.