Kristiansund BK 0–0 ODD Ballklubb: Result & Stats

Kristiansund BK

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

ODD Ballklubb

9/22/2024

Eliteserien · Round 23Nordmøre stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 16+ matches

Kristiansund BK48%

×Draw23%

ODD Ballklubb28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kristiansund BKExpected goals in this matchODD Ballklubb

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.76

1.29

Kristiansund BK

1.76

ODD Ballklubb

1.29

Kristiansund BK creates 36% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 16 away

1.29

creates per match

0.94

1.65

allows per match

2.22

creates per match

Kristiansund BK

1.29

ODD Ballklubb

0.94

allows per match

Kristiansund BK

1.65

ODD Ballklubb

2.22

-0.06on par

finishing

+0.12scores more than expected

finishing

Kristiansund BK-0.06on par

ODD Ballklubb+0.12scores more

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kristiansund BK ↓

ODD Ballklubb →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Kristiansund BK or draw

72%

Kristiansund BK or ODD Ballklubb

77%

Draw or ODD Ballklubb

52%

Winning margin

Kristiansund BK wins by 2+

26%

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Kristiansund BK 1+ goals

83%

Kristiansund BK 2+ goals

52%

Kristiansund BK 3+ goals

26%

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals

72%

ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals

37%

ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Kristiansund BK (draw refunded)

63%

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kristiansund BK at home — creates 1.29, concedes 1.65 · 26 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 0.94, concedes 2.22 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kristiansund BK attack 1.29 + ODD Ballklubb defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 1.76

ODD Ballklubb attack 0.94 + Kristiansund BK defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Kristiansund BK scores more

48%

level

23%

ODD Ballklubb scores more

28%

Kristiansund BK at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Kristiansund BK will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

15

M. Rakneberg

Kristiansund BK · D

7.7

Match Events

38'

Ruben AlteGoal cancelled

75'

S. Aas← T. Svendsen

75'

E. Hussain← A. Fransson

79'

D. Tufekcic← A. Ndour

81'

O. Midtskogen← I. Abdulrazak

81'

Z. Mugeese← B. Njie

83'

Zakaria Mugeese

85'

A. Hopmark← J. Isaksen

89'

L. Hien← E. Ruud

90+2'

Leon Hien

90'

Filip Rønningen Jørgensen

90+2'

W. Igor← R. Alte

90+2'

H. Mikaelsson← K. Lien

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KristiansundODD

Overview

53%Possession47%

14Total Shots6

1.48Expected Goals (xG)1.36

3Corners5

12Fouls12

Shots

14Total Shots6

3On Target1

6Off Target4

5Blocked1

6Inside Box4

8Outside Box2

Passing

53%Possession47%

473Total Passes427

392Accurate Passes347

83%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

12Fouls12

0Yellow Cards3

3Offsides1

Eliteserien: Kristiansund BK 0–0 ODD Ballklubb

Kristiansund BK and ODD Ballklubb drew 0-0 in Eliteserien on September 22, 2024.

Kristiansund BK controlled possession (53%) and registered 14 shots to 6.

The match was played at Nordmøre stadion in Kristiansund.

Kristiansund BK vs ODD Ballklubb — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Kristiansund BK 0–0 ODD Ballklubb