Konyaspor 0–0 Göztepe: Result & Stats | League #203

Konyaspor

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Göztepe

2/8/2026

League #203 · Round 21Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Konyaspor41%

×Draw25%

Göztepe34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KonyasporExpected goals in this matchGöztepe

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.50

1.36

Konyaspor

1.50

Göztepe

1.36

Konyaspor creates 10% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 5 away

1.16

creates per match

1.09

1.64

allows per match

1.85

creates per match

Konyaspor

1.16

Göztepe

1.09

allows per match

Konyaspor

1.64

Göztepe

1.85

-0.46scores less than expected

finishing

-0.69scores less than expected

finishing

Konyaspor-0.46scores less

Göztepe-0.69scores less

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Konyaspor ↓

Göztepe →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Konyaspor or draw

66%

Konyaspor or Göztepe

75%

Draw or Göztepe

59%

Winning margin

Konyaspor wins by 2+

20%

Göztepe wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Konyaspor 1+ goals

78%

Konyaspor 2+ goals

44%

Konyaspor 3+ goals

19%

Göztepe 1+ goals

74%

Göztepe 2+ goals

39%

Göztepe 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Konyaspor (draw refunded)

54%

Göztepe (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Konyaspor at home — creates 1.16, concedes 1.64 · 10 matches

Göztepe away — creates 1.09, concedes 1.85 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Konyaspor attack 1.16 + Göztepe defence 1.85 → ÷2 → 1.50

Göztepe attack 1.09 + Konyaspor defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Konyaspor scores more

41%

level

25%

Göztepe scores more

34%

Konyaspor at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Konyaspor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5

Heliton

Göztepe · D

8.0

Match Events

22'

Juan Santos da Silva

68'

Jo Jin-ho← E. Bardhi

68'

M. Mohammed← F. Krastev

72'

Ogün Bayrak

74'

Guilherme Luiz← Juan Santos

74'

Jeh← Janderson

76'

Berkan Kutlu

79'

Uğurcan Yazğılı

79'

Jeh

81'

M. Jevtovic← B. Kutlu

82'

Novatus Miroshi

84'

T. Altikardes← O. Bayrak

85'

U. Yildiz← N. Miroshi

87'

R. Bazoer← U. Yazgili

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KonyasporGöztepe

Overview

64%Possession36%

11Total Shots7

0.85Expected Goals (xG)0.52

4Corners3

9Fouls15

Shots

11Total Shots7

4On Target1

4Off Target5

3Blocked1

9Inside Box5

2Outside Box2

Passing

64%Possession36%

429Total Passes252

346Accurate Passes159

81%Pass Accuracy63%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

0.30Goals Prevented0.30

Discipline

9Fouls15

2Yellow Cards4

2Offsides1