Göztepe 1–1 Konyaspor: Result & Stats | League #203

Göztepe

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Konyaspor

A. Dennis 50'

T. Tasci 85'

8/29/2025

League #203 · Round 4Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Göztepe58%

×Draw23%

Konyaspor20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GöztepeExpected goals in this matchKonyaspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.86

0.98

Göztepe

1.86

Konyaspor

0.98

Göztepe creates 90% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 13 away

1.87

creates per match

1.07

0.88

allows per match

1.85

creates per match

Göztepe

1.87

Konyaspor

1.07

allows per match

Göztepe

0.88

Konyaspor

1.85

-0.67scores less than expected

finishing

+0.01on par

finishing

Göztepe-0.67scores less

Konyaspor+0.01on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Göztepe ↓

Konyaspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

54%46%3.5

31%69%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Göztepe or draw

80%

Göztepe or Konyaspor

77%

Draw or Konyaspor

42%

Winning margin

Göztepe wins by 2+

34%

Konyaspor wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Göztepe 1+ goals

84%

Göztepe 2+ goals

55%

Göztepe 3+ goals

28%

Konyaspor 1+ goals

62%

Konyaspor 2+ goals

26%

Konyaspor 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Göztepe (draw refunded)

75%

Konyaspor (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Göztepe at home — creates 1.87, concedes 0.88 · 5 matches

Konyaspor away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.85 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Göztepe attack 1.87 + Konyaspor defence 1.85 → ÷2 → 1.86

Konyaspor attack 1.07 + Göztepe defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Göztepe scores more

58%

level

23%

Konyaspor scores more

20%

Göztepe at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Göztepe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

D. Ertas

Konyaspor · G

8.9

Match Events

20'

Furkan Bayır

50'

A. Dennis↳ A. Cherni

56'

Pedrinho← D. Aleksic

60'

N. Miroshi← J. Olaitan

69'

T. Tasci← E. Bardhi

69'

M. Stefanescu← Y. Andzouana

76'

Arda Kurtulan

78'

M. Bjorlo← M. Ibrahimoglu

78'

J. Muleka← Guilherme

80'

E. Bekiroglu← Rhaldney

80'

I. Sabra← Juan Santos

85'

T. Tasci↳ A. Ndao

86'

Muhammet Tunahan Tasci

88'

Riechedly Bazoer

90+1'

T. Altikardes← A. Kurtulan

90+1'

I. Koybasi← A. Cherni

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GöztepeKonyaspor

Overview

34%Possession66%

18Total Shots10

1.74Expected Goals (xG)0.55

5Corners6

17Fouls4

Shots

18Total Shots10

8On Target2

7Off Target3

3Blocked5

13Inside Box5

5Outside Box5

Passing

34%Possession66%

238Total Passes468

175Accurate Passes386

74%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

1Saves7

1.86Goals Prevented1.86

Discipline

17Fouls4

2Yellow Cards2

1Offsides2

League #203: Göztepe 1–1 Konyaspor

Göztepe and Konyaspor drew 1-1 in League #203 on August 29, 2025.

Goals: A. Dennis (50'), T. Tasci (85').

Konyaspor controlled possession (66%) and registered 10 shots to 18.

The match was played at Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu in Izmir.

Göztepe vs Konyaspor — League #203 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

League #203: Göztepe 1–1 Konyaspor