KFUM Oslo 3–0 Stromsgodset: Result & Stats

KFUM Oslo

FT

3 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Stromsgodset

H. Hoseth 79'

S. Sjokvist 14'

R. E. Vinge 12'

2/28/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

KFUM Oslo44%

×Draw23%

Stromsgodset34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KFUM OsloExpected goals in this matchStromsgodset

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.78

1.54

KFUM Oslo

1.78

Stromsgodset

1.54

KFUM Oslo creates 16% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

1.13

creates per match

1.71

1.38

allows per match

2.43

creates per match

KFUM Oslo

1.13

Stromsgodset

1.71

allows per match

KFUM Oslo

1.38

Stromsgodset

2.43

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

KFUM Oslo+0.00on par

Stromsgodset+0.00on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFUM Oslo ↓

Stromsgodset →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

KFUM Oslo or draw

66%

KFUM Oslo or Stromsgodset

77%

Draw or Stromsgodset

56%

Winning margin

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

23%

Stromsgodset wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

83%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

53%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

26%

Stromsgodset 1+ goals

79%

Stromsgodset 2+ goals

45%

Stromsgodset 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

56%

Stromsgodset (draw refunded)

44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFUM Oslo at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.38 · 8 matches

Stromsgodset away — creates 1.71, concedes 2.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFUM Oslo attack 1.13 + Stromsgodset defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 1.78

Stromsgodset attack 1.71 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

KFUM Oslo scores more

44%

level

23%

Stromsgodset scores more

34%

KFUM Oslo at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "KFUM Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'

R. E. Vinge

14'

S. Sjokvist

79'

H. Hoseth

KFUM

Stromsgodset

1

21

⚽

2

5

19

16

8

27

18

⚽

Vinge

17

Haltvik

22

Kristense

Manager: Johannes Moesgaard

KFUM Oslo substitutes

14Hoseth

Manager: Dag-Eilev Fagermo

Stromsgodset substitutes

12Lampinen-Skaug5SormoTostrup-Kval

Match Recap: KFUM Oslo vs Stromsgodset

KFUM Oslo beat Stromsgodset 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 28, 2026.

Goals: R. E. Vinge (12'), S. Sjokvist (14'), H. Hoseth (79').

KFUM Oslo vs Stromsgodset — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: KFUM Oslo vs Stromsgodset