KFUM Oslo 5–0 Stromsgodset: Result & Stats

KFUM Oslo

FT

5 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Stromsgodset

T. Haltvik 90'

O. Okeke 82', 59'

J. Hjorth 69'

D. Hickson 53'

6/22/2025

Eliteserien · Round 10KFUM Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 32+ matches

KFUM Oslo53%

×Draw23%

Stromsgodset23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KFUM OsloExpected goals in this matchStromsgodset

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.77

1.08

KFUM Oslo

1.77

Stromsgodset

1.08

KFUM Oslo creates 64% more chances

Season form · 32 home / 34 away

1.42

creates per match

1.08

1.07

allows per match

2.13

creates per match

KFUM Oslo

1.42

Stromsgodset

1.08

allows per match

KFUM Oslo

1.07

Stromsgodset

2.13

-0.11scores less than expected

finishing

+0.07on par

finishing

KFUM Oslo-0.11scores less

Stromsgodset+0.07on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFUM Oslo ↓

Stromsgodset →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

KFUM Oslo or draw

77%

KFUM Oslo or Stromsgodset

77%

Draw or Stromsgodset

47%

Winning margin

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

30%

Stromsgodset wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

83%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

53%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

26%

Stromsgodset 1+ goals

66%

Stromsgodset 2+ goals

29%

Stromsgodset 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

70%

Stromsgodset (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFUM Oslo at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.07 · 32 matches

Stromsgodset away — creates 1.08, concedes 2.13 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFUM Oslo attack 1.42 + Stromsgodset defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 1.77

Stromsgodset attack 1.08 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

KFUM Oslo scores more

53%

level

23%

Stromsgodset scores more

23%

KFUM Oslo at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "KFUM Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

16

J. Hjorth

KFUM Oslo · D

8.9

Match Events

34'

Sverre Hakami Sandal

34'

Kreshnik Krasniqi

53'

D. Hickson↳ S. Sandal

59'

O. Okeke↳ J. Nunez

67'

B. Kristensen← J. Nunez

67'

O. Enersen← S. A. Marcello Silalahi

67'

J. Taaje← B. Sormo

67'

M. Mehnert← N. Moller

69'

J. Hjorth

76'

Ole Kristian Enersen

78'

D. Schneider← A. Aleesami

78'

T. Haltvik← D. Hickson

82'

82'

85'

85'

90'

90'

T. Haltvik↳ M. Tonnessen

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KFUMStromsgodset

Overview

59%Possession41%

13Total Shots9

1.91Expected Goals (xG)0.55

6Corners2

6Fouls11

Shots

13Total Shots9

7On Target1

3Off Target7

3Blocked1

8Inside Box4

5Outside Box5

Passing

59%Possession41%

510Total Passes362

439Accurate Passes289

86%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

1Saves1

Discipline

6Fouls11

2Yellow Cards3

2Offsides0