Kalmar FF 2–0 Helsingborg: Result & Stats

Kalmar FF

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Helsingborg

M. Hallberg 71'

L. Kjellnas 1' (OG)

8/26/2025

Superettan · Round 20Guldfågeln Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Kalmar FF50%

×Draw24%

Helsingborg26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kalmar FFExpected goals in this matchHelsingborg

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.72

1.17

Kalmar FF

1.72

Helsingborg

1.17

Kalmar FF creates 47% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 81 away

2.07

creates per match

1.47

0.87

allows per match

1.37

creates per match

Kalmar FF

2.07

Helsingborg

1.47

allows per match

Kalmar FF

0.87

Helsingborg

1.37

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kalmar FF+0.00on par

Helsingborg+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kalmar FF ↓

Helsingborg →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Kalmar FF or draw

74%

Kalmar FF or Helsingborg

76%

Draw or Helsingborg

50%

Winning margin

Kalmar FF wins by 2+

27%

Helsingborg wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Kalmar FF 1+ goals

82%

Kalmar FF 2+ goals

51%

Kalmar FF 3+ goals

25%

Helsingborg 1+ goals

69%

Helsingborg 2+ goals

33%

Helsingborg 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Kalmar FF (draw refunded)

66%

Helsingborg (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kalmar FF at home — creates 2.07, concedes 0.87 · 15 matches

Helsingborg away — creates 1.47, concedes 1.37 · 81 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kalmar FF attack 2.07 + Helsingborg defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.72

Helsingborg attack 1.47 + Kalmar FF defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Kalmar FF scores more

50%

level

24%

Helsingborg scores more

26%

Kalmar FF at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Kalmar FF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

1'

L. KjellnasOwn goal

23'

Gibril Sosseh

29'

Benjamin Orn

46'

M. Hallberg← G. Sosseh

59'

M. Stolt← Chukwuemeka Emeka

71'

M. Hallberg↳ M. Stolt

72'

A. Olusanya← T. Kalinauskas

72'

A. Magashy← A. Motaraghebjafarpour

72'

S. Asoma← M. Svensson

72'

O. Aga← E. Gigovic

72'

A. Nordin← A. Akimey

79'

S. Ylatupa← S. Mamatsashvili

81'

C. Ljung← L. Kjellnas

81'

W. Westerlund← W. Loeper

Kalmar4-4-2

Helsingborg4-4-2

16

Johansson

10

▼

Svensson

9

▼

Akimey

14

🥅

▼

Kjellnas

8

▼

Gigovic

7

▼

5

3

2

19

1

30

33

▼

6

39

4

37

▼

Kalinausk

20

▼

Sosseh

23

Gojani

26

▼

Motaraghe

70

▼

Emeka

10

Jebara

Manager: Toni Koskela

46'▲M. Hallberg←▼G. Sosseh

59'▲M. Stolt←▼Chukwuemeka Emeka

72'▲A. Olusanya←▼T. Kalinauskas

72'▲A. Magashy←▼A. Motaraghebjafarpour

79'▲S. Ylatupa←▼S. Mamatsashvili

Kalmar FF substitutes

32Andersson5Hallberg7Atanga9Stolt11Olusanya19Ylatupa21Magashy

Manager: John Klebér Saarenpää

72'▲S. Asoma←▼M. Svensson

72'▲O. Aga←▼E. Gigovic

72'▲A. Nordin←▼A. Akimey

81'▲C. Ljung←▼L. Kjellnas

81'▲W. Westerlund←▼W. Loeper

Helsingborg substitutes

6Asoma15Gorefalt18Ljung23Westerlund29Aga31Nordin40Wagnborg

Superettan: Kalmar FF 2–0 Helsingborg

Kalmar FF beat Helsingborg 2-0 in Superettan on August 26, 2025.

Goals: L. Kjellnas (1' o.g.), M. Hallberg (71').

The match was played at Guldfågeln Arena in Kalmar.

Kalmar FF vs Helsingborg — Superettan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Superettan: Kalmar FF 2–0 Helsingborg