IFK Goteborg 2–0 IFK Norrkoping: Result & Stats

IFK Goteborg

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

IFK Norrkoping

I. Jagne 90'

S. Alioum 62'

11/9/2025

Allsvenskan · Round 30Gamla Ullevi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

IFK Goteborg46%

×Draw23%

IFK Norrkoping31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

IFK GoteborgExpected goals in this matchIFK Norrkoping

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.81

1.46

IFK Goteborg

1.81

IFK Norrkoping

1.46

IFK Goteborg creates 24% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 6 away

1.27

creates per match

1.32

1.60

allows per match

2.35

creates per match

IFK Goteborg

1.27

IFK Norrkoping

1.32

allows per match

IFK Goteborg

1.60

IFK Norrkoping

2.35

-0.18scores less than expected

finishing

-0.32scores less than expected

finishing

IFK Goteborg-0.18scores less

IFK Norrkoping-0.32scores less

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IFK Goteborg ↓

IFK Norrkoping →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

63%37%3.5

41%59%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

IFK Goteborg or draw

69%

IFK Goteborg or IFK Norrkoping

77%

Draw or IFK Norrkoping

54%

Winning margin

IFK Goteborg wins by 2+

25%

IFK Norrkoping wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

IFK Goteborg 1+ goals

84%

IFK Goteborg 2+ goals

54%

IFK Goteborg 3+ goals

27%

IFK Norrkoping 1+ goals

77%

IFK Norrkoping 2+ goals

43%

IFK Norrkoping 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

IFK Goteborg (draw refunded)

59%

IFK Norrkoping (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IFK Goteborg at home — creates 1.27, concedes 1.60 · 11 matches

IFK Norrkoping away — creates 1.32, concedes 2.35 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IFK Goteborg attack 1.27 + IFK Norrkoping defence 2.35 → ÷2 → 1.81

IFK Norrkoping attack 1.32 + IFK Goteborg defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

IFK Goteborg scores more

46%

level

23%

IFK Norrkoping scores more

31%

IFK Goteborg at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "IFK Goteborg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3

A. Erlingmark

IFK Goteborg · D

8.3

Match Events

60'

Moutaz Neffati

62'

S. Alioum↳ B. Brantlind

64'

I. Jagne← S. Alioum

67'

Thomas Santos

72'

F. Eriksson← B. Brantlind

73'

I. Lushaku← A. Traustason

86'

J. Arnarsson← M. Baggesen

90+2'

Felix Eriksson

90+5'

J. Bager← G. Svensson

90+2'

A. Andersson← A. Sogaard

90'

I. Jagne

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

IFKIFK

Overview

72%Possession28%

15Total Shots12

2.29Expected Goals (xG)1.20

4Corners3

8Fouls15

Shots

15Total Shots12

6On Target3

6Off Target6

3Blocked3

11Inside Box9

4Outside Box3

Passing

72%Possession28%

539Total Passes210

452Accurate Passes107

84%Pass Accuracy51%

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

Discipline

8Fouls15

2Yellow Cards1

3Offsides0

Allsvenskan: IFK Goteborg 2–0 IFK Norrkoping

IFK Goteborg beat IFK Norrkoping 2-0 in Allsvenskan on November 9, 2025.

Goals: S. Alioum (62'), I. Jagne (90').

IFK Goteborg controlled possession (72%) and registered 15 shots to 12.

The match was played at Gamla Ullevi in Gothenburg.

IFK Goteborg vs IFK Norrkoping — Allsvenskan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Allsvenskan: IFK Goteborg 2–0 IFK Norrkoping