IF Brommapojkarna 2–2 Vasteras SK FK

IF Brommapojkarna

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 2

Vasteras SK FK

O. Berg 67'

K. Ackermann 8'

S. Gefvert 42'

K. Gunnarsson 23'

3/22/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

IF Brommapojkarna59%

×Draw21%

Vasteras SK FK20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

IF BrommapojkarnaExpected goals in this matchVasteras SK FK

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.08

1.12

IF Brommapojkarna

2.08

Vasteras SK FK

1.12

IF Brommapojkarna creates 86% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

1.88

creates per match

0.86

1.38

allows per match

2.29

creates per match

IF Brommapojkarna

1.88

Vasteras SK FK

0.86

allows per match

IF Brommapojkarna

1.38

Vasteras SK FK

2.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

IF Brommapojkarna+0.00on par

Vasteras SK FK+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IF Brommapojkarna ↓

Vasteras SK FK →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

IF Brommapojkarna or draw

80%

IF Brommapojkarna or Vasteras SK FK

79%

Draw or Vasteras SK FK

41%

Winning margin

IF Brommapojkarna wins by 2+

36%

Vasteras SK FK wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

IF Brommapojkarna 1+ goals

87%

IF Brommapojkarna 2+ goals

61%

IF Brommapojkarna 3+ goals

34%

Vasteras SK FK 1+ goals

67%

Vasteras SK FK 2+ goals

31%

Vasteras SK FK 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

IF Brommapojkarna (draw refunded)

75%

Vasteras SK FK (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IF Brommapojkarna at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.38 · 8 matches

Vasteras SK FK away — creates 0.86, concedes 2.29 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.88 + Vasteras SK FK defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 2.08

Vasteras SK FK attack 0.86 + IF Brommapojkarna defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

IF Brommapojkarna scores more

59%

level

21%

Vasteras SK FK scores more

20%

IF Brommapojkarna at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "IF Brommapojkarna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

8'

K. Ackermann

14'

23'

K. Gunnarsson

34'

42'

S. Gefvert

60'

67'

O. Berg

84'

IF

Vasteras

34

2

3

4

5

⚽

Gunnarsso

9

Ladefoged

10

Ring

11

⚽

14

17

24

25

3

4

7

9

10

⚽

14

16

21

24

⚽

Ackermann

27

Barslund

Manager: Ulf Kristiansson

IF Brommapojkarna substitutes

31Isaksson2Karlsson5Ngouali6Zanden11Orqvist17Kurochkin18J.23Simpson29Botchway30Bjorklund

Vasteras SK FK substitutes

1Fagerstrom25Bernardini8Diagne16Seidouvy19Magnusson21Wernersson22Bark23Sibelius29Abadid30Hellisdal32AbdiHaliti

Match Recap: IF Brommapojkarna vs Vasteras SK FK

IF Brommapojkarna and Vasteras SK FK drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on March 22, 2026.

Goals: K. Ackermann (8'), K. Gunnarsson (23'), S. Gefvert (42'), O. Berg (67').

IF Brommapojkarna vs Vasteras SK FK — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: IF Brommapojkarna vs Vasteras SK FK