Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

IF Brommapojkarna vs Orebro SK — Superettan 2026

IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Orebro SK
Orebro SK
M. Ćosić 51'
P. Hellquist 15'
A. Andrésson 6'
8/3/2022SuperettanSuperettan · Round 17Grimsta IP

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

IF Brommapojkarna52%
×Draw23%
Orebro SK25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

IF Brommapojkarna
1.83
Orebro SK
1.21

IF Brommapojkarna creates 51% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 68 away

creates per match

IF Brommapojkarna
1.87
Orebro SK
1.09

allows per match

IF Brommapojkarna
1.32
Orebro SK
1.79

finishing

IF Brommapojkarna+0.00on par
Orebro SK+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IF Brommapojkarna ↓

Orebro SK →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

IF Brommapojkarna or draw
75%
IF Brommapojkarna or Orebro SK
77%
Draw or Orebro SK
48%

Winning margin

IF Brommapojkarna wins by 2+
29%
Orebro SK wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

IF Brommapojkarna 1+ goals
84%
IF Brommapojkarna 2+ goals
54%
IF Brommapojkarna 3+ goals
28%
Orebro SK 1+ goals
70%
Orebro SK 2+ goals
34%
Orebro SK 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

IF Brommapojkarna (draw refunded)
67%
Orebro SK (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IF Brommapojkarna at home — creates 1.87, concedes 1.32 · 31 matches

Orebro SK away — creates 1.09, concedes 1.79 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.87 + Orebro SK defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.83

Orebro SK attack 1.09 + IF Brommapojkarna defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

IF Brommapojkarna scores more
52%
level
23%
Orebro SK scores more
25%

IF Brommapojkarna at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "IF Brommapojkarna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
A. Andrésson
15'
P. Hellquist
31'
L. Shlimon← K. Walker
39'
Samuel Leach Holm
43'
Amadeus Sögaard
51'
M. Ćosić
65'
Jiloan Hamad← B. Hjertstrand
68'
N. Vasic← P. Hellquist
68'
T. Söderström← O. Pettersson
73'
Daniel Gustafsson
76'
N. Maripuu← W. Odefalk
83'
R. Omorowa← T. Bergvall
83'
R. Frej← M. Ćosić
84'
O. Olaniyan← D. Seger
84'
V. Valgeirsson← Ahmed Yasin

Shots

14IF

Statistics

IFOrebro
Overview
14Total Shots10
5Corners8
10Fouls11
Shots
14Total Shots10
7On Target5
3Off Target4
4Blocked1
Goalkeeping
4Saves5
Discipline
10Fouls11
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Offsides1

Match Recap: IF Brommapojkarna vs Orebro SK

IF Brommapojkarna beat Orebro SK 2-1 in Superettan on August 3, 2022.

Goals: A. Andrésson (6'), P. Hellquist (15'), M. Ćosić (51').

The match was played at Grimsta IP in Stockholm.