Helsingborg 0–1 IFK Norrkoping: Result & Stats

Helsingborg

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

IFK Norrkoping

C. Nyman 70'

5/9/2022

Allsvenskan · Round 7Olympia

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Helsingborg35%

×Draw27%

IFK Norrkoping39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HelsingborgExpected goals in this matchIFK Norrkoping

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.24

1.33

Helsingborg

1.24

IFK Norrkoping

1.33

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 46 home / 117 away

0.87

creates per match

1.40

1.26

allows per match

1.60

creates per match

Helsingborg

0.87

IFK Norrkoping

1.40

allows per match

Helsingborg

1.26

IFK Norrkoping

1.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Helsingborg+0.00on par

IFK Norrkoping+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Helsingborg ↓

IFK Norrkoping →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–110%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

47%53%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Helsingborg or draw

61%

Helsingborg or IFK Norrkoping

73%

Draw or IFK Norrkoping

65%

Winning margin

Helsingborg wins by 2+

15%

IFK Norrkoping wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Helsingborg 1+ goals

71%

Helsingborg 2+ goals

35%

Helsingborg 3+ goals

13%

IFK Norrkoping 1+ goals

74%

IFK Norrkoping 2+ goals

38%

IFK Norrkoping 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Helsingborg (draw refunded)

47%

IFK Norrkoping (draw refunded)

53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Helsingborg at home — creates 0.87, concedes 1.26 · 46 matches

IFK Norrkoping away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.60 · 117 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Helsingborg attack 0.87 + IFK Norrkoping defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.24

IFK Norrkoping attack 1.40 + Helsingborg defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Helsingborg scores more

35%

level

27%

IFK Norrkoping scores more

39%

IFK Norrkoping at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "IFK Norrkoping will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

O. Jansson

IFK Norrkoping · G

7.7

Match Events

13'

Albert Ejupi

29'

Jonathan Levi

42'

Casper Widell

67'

J. Amoako← A. van den Hurk

67'

A. Al Hamlawi← D. Olsson

69'

L. Lima← E. Marković

69'

M. Sema← J. Levi

70'

C. Nyman↳ M. Sema

81'

R. Jönsson← L. Lingman

81'

E. Binaku← C. Nyman

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HelsingborgIFK

Overview

58%Possession42%

8Total Shots14

6Corners8

13Fouls6

Shots

8Total Shots14

3On Target4

4Off Target7

1Blocked3

5Inside Box8

3Outside Box6

Passing

58%Possession42%

510Total Passes360

420Accurate Passes267

82%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

Discipline

13Fouls6

2Yellow Cards1

1Offsides0

Allsvenskan: Helsingborg 0–1 IFK Norrkoping

IFK Norrkoping beat Helsingborg 1-0 in Allsvenskan on May 9, 2022.

Goals: C. Nyman (70').

Helsingborg controlled possession (58%) and registered 8 shots to 14.

The match was played at Olympia in Helsingborg.

Helsingborg vs IFK Norrkoping — Allsvenskan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Allsvenskan: Helsingborg 0–1 IFK Norrkoping