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Haugesund vs Ham-Kam — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Haugesund
Haugesund
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
H. Udahl 53', 31'
2/25/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Haugesund60%
×Draw21%
Ham-Kam19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haugesund
2.10
Ham-Kam
1.11

Haugesund creates 89% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 14 away

creates per match

Haugesund
2.27
Ham-Kam
1.14

allows per match

Haugesund
1.09
Ham-Kam
1.93

finishing

Haugesund+0.00on par
Ham-Kam+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haugesund ↓

Ham-Kam →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Haugesund or draw
81%
Haugesund or Ham-Kam
79%
Draw or Ham-Kam
40%

Winning margin

Haugesund wins by 2+
37%
Ham-Kam wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Haugesund 1+ goals
88%
Haugesund 2+ goals
62%
Haugesund 3+ goals
35%
Ham-Kam 1+ goals
67%
Ham-Kam 2+ goals
30%
Ham-Kam 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Haugesund (draw refunded)
75%
Ham-Kam (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haugesund at home — creates 2.27, concedes 1.09 · 22 matches

Ham-Kam away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.93 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haugesund attack 2.27 + Ham-Kam defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 2.10

Ham-Kam attack 1.14 + Haugesund defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Haugesund scores more
60%
level
21%
Ham-Kam scores more
19%

Haugesund at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

31'
H. Udahl
53'
H. Udahl
Haugesund
Ham-Kam
Toni Korkeakunnas
Manager: Toni Korkeakunnas
Thomas Myhre
Manager: Thomas Myhre

Friendlies Clubs: Haugesund 0–2 Ham-Kam

Ham-Kam beat Haugesund 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 25, 2026.

Goals: H. Udahl (31', 53').