Ham-Kam 5–0 Haugesund: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Ham-Kam

FT

5 – 0

HT: 5 – 0

Haugesund

K. Lien 44', 17'

J. Gonstad 33', 28'

V. Jonsson 6'

11/23/2025

Eliteserien · Round 29Briskeby Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 16+ matches

Ham-Kam46%

×Draw23%

Haugesund31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Ham-KamExpected goals in this matchHaugesund

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.79

1.42

Ham-Kam

1.79

Haugesund

1.42

Ham-Kam creates 26% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 16 away

1.34

creates per match

1.23

1.60

allows per match

2.23

creates per match

Ham-Kam

1.34

Haugesund

1.23

allows per match

Ham-Kam

1.60

Haugesund

2.23

+0.47scores more than expected

finishing

-0.17scores less than expected

finishing

Ham-Kam+0.47scores more

Haugesund-0.17scores less

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ham-Kam ↓

Haugesund →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Ham-Kam or draw

69%

Ham-Kam or Haugesund

77%

Draw or Haugesund

54%

Winning margin

Ham-Kam wins by 2+

25%

Haugesund wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Ham-Kam 1+ goals

83%

Ham-Kam 2+ goals

53%

Ham-Kam 3+ goals

26%

Haugesund 1+ goals

76%

Haugesund 2+ goals

41%

Haugesund 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Ham-Kam (draw refunded)

60%

Haugesund (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ham-Kam at home — creates 1.34, concedes 1.60 · 31 matches

Haugesund away — creates 1.23, concedes 2.23 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ham-Kam attack 1.34 + Haugesund defence 2.23 → ÷2 → 1.79

Haugesund attack 1.23 + Ham-Kam defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Ham-Kam scores more

46%

level

23%

Haugesund scores more

31%

Ham-Kam at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Ham-Kam will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5

A. Ekeroth

Ham-Kam · D

8.9

Match Events

6'

V. Jonsson↳ A. Ekeroth

11'

Viðar Ari Jónsson

17'

K. Lien↳ A. Potur

28'

J. Gonstad↳ A. Ekeroth

33'

J. Gonstad

39'

H. V. Karlsen← E. Rohd

39'

A. Bondhus← M. Hope

44'

K. Lien↳ A. Ekeroth

46'

G. Simenstad← A. Ekeroth

46'

M. Larsen← F. Sjolstad

61'

E. Gojani← K. Lien

71'

M. Johnsgard← A. Potur

72'

E. Helgeland← N. Hamalainen

72'

W. Valenza← T. Nyhammer

78'

W. Osnes-Ringen← Y. Ibrahimaj

81'

F. A. Jakobsen← L. Eide

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Ham-KamHaugesund

Overview

55%Possession45%

24Total Shots10

2.72Expected Goals (xG)0.86

11Corners5

14Fouls7

Shots

24Total Shots10

11On Target2

8Off Target6

5Blocked2

19Inside Box6

5Outside Box4

Passing

55%Possession45%

548Total Passes463

489Accurate Passes402

89%Pass Accuracy87%

Goalkeeping

2Saves6

Discipline

14Fouls7

1Yellow Cards0

0Offsides4

Eliteserien: Ham-Kam 5–0 Haugesund

Ham-Kam beat Haugesund 5-0 in Eliteserien on November 23, 2025.

Goals: V. Jonsson (6'), K. Lien (17', 44'), J. Gonstad (28', 33').

Ham-Kam controlled possession (55%) and registered 24 shots to 10.

The match was played at Briskeby Arena in Hamar.

Ham-Kam vs Haugesund — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Ham-Kam 5–0 Haugesund