Haugesund 1–1 Ham-Kam: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Haugesund

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Ham-Kam

B. Njie 33'

K. Eriksen 45+3'

7/10/2022

Eliteserien · Round 13Haugesund Sparebank Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 31+ matches

Haugesund40%

×Draw25%

Ham-Kam35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HaugesundExpected goals in this matchHam-Kam

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

1.35

Haugesund

1.46

Ham-Kam

1.35

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 31 home / 32 away

1.14

creates per match

1.08

1.62

allows per match

1.78

creates per match

Haugesund

1.14

Ham-Kam

1.08

allows per match

Haugesund

1.62

Ham-Kam

1.78

-0.24scores less than expected

finishing

+0.14scores more than expected

finishing

Haugesund-0.24scores less

Ham-Kam+0.14scores more

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haugesund ↓

Ham-Kam →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Haugesund or draw

65%

Haugesund or Ham-Kam

75%

Draw or Ham-Kam

60%

Winning margin

Haugesund wins by 2+

19%

Ham-Kam wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Haugesund 1+ goals

77%

Haugesund 2+ goals

43%

Haugesund 3+ goals

18%

Ham-Kam 1+ goals

74%

Ham-Kam 2+ goals

39%

Ham-Kam 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Haugesund (draw refunded)

53%

Ham-Kam (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haugesund at home — creates 1.14, concedes 1.62 · 31 matches

Ham-Kam away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.78 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haugesund attack 1.14 + Ham-Kam defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.46

Ham-Kam attack 1.08 + Haugesund defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Haugesund scores more

40%

level

25%

Ham-Kam scores more

35%

Haugesund at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

P. Therkildsen

Haugesund · D

8.2

Match Events

24'

T. Naustdal← K. Krygård

27'

33'

38'

42'

45+3'

K. Eriksen↳ J. Enkerud

61'

E. Sildnes← K. Hernández-Foster

72'

Fredrik Sjolstad

73'

T. Pedersen← N. Walstad

73'

A. Søderlund← M. Samuelsen

89'

H. Gong← A. Ndour

90'

Julius Eskesen

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HaugesundHam-Kam

Overview

60%Possession40%

10Total Shots11

5Corners2

10Fouls7

Shots

10Total Shots11

3On Target2

6Off Target5

1Blocked4

7Inside Box5

3Outside Box6

Passing

60%Possession40%

510Total Passes341

423Accurate Passes247

83%Pass Accuracy72%

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

Discipline

10Fouls7

2Yellow Cards2

2Offsides1

Eliteserien: Haugesund 1–1 Ham-Kam

Haugesund and Ham-Kam drew 1-1 in Eliteserien on July 10, 2022.

Goals: B. Njie (33'), K. Eriksen (45+3').

Haugesund controlled possession (60%) and registered 10 shots to 11.

The match was played at Haugesund Sparebank Arena in Haugesund.

Haugesund vs Ham-Kam — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Haugesund 1–1 Ham-Kam