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Fortuna Dusseldorf vs FC Wurzburger Kickers — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Fortuna Dusseldorf
Fortuna Dusseldorf
CANC
00:00
FC Wurzburger Kickers
FC Wurzburger Kickers
7/4/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3HUBER Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Fortuna Dusseldorf45%
×Draw22%
FC Wurzburger Kickers33%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fortuna Dusseldorf
1.95
FC Wurzburger Kickers
1.65

Fortuna Dusseldorf creates 18% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 10 away

creates per match

Fortuna Dusseldorf
1.60
FC Wurzburger Kickers
2.30

allows per match

Fortuna Dusseldorf
1.00
FC Wurzburger Kickers
2.30

finishing

Fortuna Dusseldorf+0.00on par
FC Wurzburger Kickers+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fortuna Dusseldorf ↓

FC Wurzburger Kickers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
70%30%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Fortuna Dusseldorf or draw
67%
Fortuna Dusseldorf or FC Wurzburger Kickers
78%
Draw or FC Wurzburger Kickers
55%

Winning margin

Fortuna Dusseldorf wins by 2+
25%
FC Wurzburger Kickers wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Fortuna Dusseldorf 1+ goals
86%
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2+ goals
58%
Fortuna Dusseldorf 3+ goals
31%
FC Wurzburger Kickers 1+ goals
81%
FC Wurzburger Kickers 2+ goals
49%
FC Wurzburger Kickers 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Fortuna Dusseldorf (draw refunded)
58%
FC Wurzburger Kickers (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fortuna Dusseldorf at home — creates 1.60, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

FC Wurzburger Kickers away — creates 2.30, concedes 2.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack 1.60 + FC Wurzburger Kickers defence 2.30 → ÷2 → 1.95

FC Wurzburger Kickers attack 2.30 + Fortuna Dusseldorf defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Fortuna Dusseldorf scores more
45%
level
22%
FC Wurzburger Kickers scores more
33%

Fortuna Dusseldorf at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Fortuna Dusseldorf will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Fortuna Dusseldorf host FC Wurzburger Kickers

July 4, 2021: Fortuna Dusseldorf take on FC Wurzburger Kickers in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Fortuna Dusseldorf host FC Wurzburger Kickers at HUBER Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.