FC ST. Gallen 0–3 FC Sion: Result & Stats

FC ST. Gallen

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 1

FC Sion

T. Berdayes 76'

Y. Chouaref 63'

B. Kololli 43'

5/3/2026

Super League · Championship Group - 35Kybunpark

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 23+ matches

FC ST. Gallen45%

×Draw23%

FC Sion31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FC ST. GallenExpected goals in this matchFC Sion

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.73

1.41

FC ST. Gallen

1.73

FC Sion

1.41

FC ST. Gallen creates 23% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 23 away

2.06

creates per match

1.44

1.37

allows per match

1.41

creates per match

FC ST. Gallen

2.06

FC Sion

1.44

allows per match

FC ST. Gallen

1.37

FC Sion

1.41

-0.33scores less than expected

finishing

+0.13scores more than expected

finishing

FC ST. Gallen-0.33scores less

FC Sion+0.13scores more

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC ST. Gallen ↓

FC Sion →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

38%62%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

FC ST. Gallen or draw

69%

FC ST. Gallen or FC Sion

77%

Draw or FC Sion

55%

Winning margin

FC ST. Gallen wins by 2+

24%

FC Sion wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

FC ST. Gallen 1+ goals

82%

FC ST. Gallen 2+ goals

52%

FC ST. Gallen 3+ goals

25%

FC Sion 1+ goals

76%

FC Sion 2+ goals

41%

FC Sion 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

FC ST. Gallen (draw refunded)

59%

FC Sion (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC ST. Gallen at home — creates 2.06, concedes 1.37 · 26 matches

FC Sion away — creates 1.44, concedes 1.41 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC ST. Gallen attack 2.06 + FC Sion defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.73

FC Sion attack 1.44 + FC ST. Gallen defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

FC ST. Gallen scores more

45%

level

23%

FC Sion scores more

31%

FC ST. Gallen at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "FC ST. Gallen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

Y. Chouaref

FC Sion · M

8.3

Match Events

19'

Josias LukembilaGoal cancelled

24'

27'

29'

31'

38'

43'

B. Kololli↳ R. Nivokazi

45'

Jozo Stanić

45'

Josias Lukembila

54'

Nino Weibel

61'

T. Ouattara← N. Weibel

61'

D. Besio← A. Vogt

63'

Y. Chouaref

68'

F. Surdez← R. Nivokazi

68'

T. Berdayes← Y. Chouaref

73'

Lukas Görtler

76'

T. Berdayes↳ B. Kololli

78'

B. Fazliji← C. Boukhalfa

78'

N. Scherrer← H. Vandermersch

78'

J. Ruiz← A. Balde

79'

L. Chipperfield← B. Kololli

87'

D. Rrudhani← A. Kabacalman

87'

W. Boteli← J. Lukembila

90+4'

Chima Okoroji

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

FCFC

Overview

54%Possession46%

19Total Shots11

1.50Expected Goals (xG)1.64

5Corners7

18Fouls15

Shots

19Total Shots11

3On Target5

13Off Target3

3Blocked3

17Inside Box8

2Outside Box3

Passing

54%Possession46%

412Total Passes357

318Accurate Passes277

77%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

0.07Goals Prevented0.07

Discipline

18Fouls15

6Yellow Cards4

0Offsides1