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FC Sion vs FC ST. Gallen — Super League 2018

FC Sion
FC Sion
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
L. Daschner 29' (OG)
L. Gortler 24'
3/21/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 31Stade de Tourbillon

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 16+ matches

FC Sion46%
×Draw23%
FC ST. Gallen31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Sion
1.77
FC ST. Gallen
1.40

FC Sion creates 26% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 24 away

creates per match

FC Sion
1.54
FC ST. Gallen
1.57

allows per match

FC Sion
1.23
FC ST. Gallen
1.99

finishing

FC Sion+0.40scores more
FC ST. Gallen+0.06on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Sion ↓

FC ST. Gallen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

FC Sion or draw
69%
FC Sion or FC ST. Gallen
77%
Draw or FC ST. Gallen
54%

Winning margin

FC Sion wins by 2+
25%
FC ST. Gallen wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

FC Sion 1+ goals
83%
FC Sion 2+ goals
53%
FC Sion 3+ goals
26%
FC ST. Gallen 1+ goals
75%
FC ST. Gallen 2+ goals
41%
FC ST. Gallen 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

FC Sion (draw refunded)
60%
FC ST. Gallen (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Sion at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.23 · 16 matches

FC ST. Gallen away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.99 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Sion attack 1.54 + FC ST. Gallen defence 1.99 → ÷2 → 1.77

FC ST. Gallen attack 1.57 + FC Sion defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

FC Sion scores more
46%
level
23%
FC ST. Gallen scores more
31%

FC Sion at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "FC Sion will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

88
A. KabacalmanFC SionFC Sion · M
7.7

Match Events

24'
L. Gortler↳ D. Besio
29'
L. DaschnerOwn goal
54'
Carlo Boukhalfa
61'
Diego Besio
67'
Nias Hefti
69'
W. Boteli← R. Nivokazi
76'
Lukas Görtler
77'
F. Surdez← B. Kololli
77'
L. Chipperfield← J. Lukembila
79'
N. Scherrer← D. Besio
79'
M. Efekele← A. Balde
85'
N. Sow← A. Kabacalman
85'
C. Konietzke← C. Boukhalfa
86'
N. Weibel← H. Vandermersch
90+2'
Kreshnik Hajrizi

Possession

50%FC

Shots

13FC

Pass accuracy

48%FC

Statistics

FCFC
Overview
50%Possession50%
13Total Shots19
1.34Expected Goals (xG)1.09
8Corners12
14Fouls21
Shots
13Total Shots19
6On Target7
4Off Target7
3Blocked5
12Inside Box16
1Outside Box3
Passing
50%Possession50%
336Total Passes332
237Accurate Passes258
71%Pass Accuracy78%
Goalkeeping
6Saves7
-0.18Goals Prevented-0.18
Discipline
14Fouls21
2Yellow Cards3
0Offsides4

Match Recap: FC Sion vs FC ST. Gallen

FC Sion and FC ST. Gallen drew 1-1 in Super League on March 21, 2026.

Goals: L. Gortler (24'), L. Daschner (29' o.g.).

FC Sion controlled possession (50%) and registered 13 shots to 19.

The match was played at Stade de Tourbillon in Sion.