Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Djurgardens IF vs Gais — Allsvenskan 2026

Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Gais
Gais
4/21/2025AllsvenskanAllsvenskan · Round 43Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 16+ matches

Djurgardens IF46%
×Draw26%
Gais28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Djurgardens IF
1.52
Gais
1.13

Djurgardens IF creates 35% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 16 away

creates per match

Djurgardens IF
1.88
Gais
1.30

allows per match

Djurgardens IF
0.96
Gais
1.17

finishing

Djurgardens IF+0.26scores more
Gais+0.08on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Djurgardens IF ↓

Gais →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Djurgardens IF or draw
72%
Djurgardens IF or Gais
74%
Draw or Gais
54%

Winning margin

Djurgardens IF wins by 2+
23%
Gais wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Djurgardens IF 1+ goals
78%
Djurgardens IF 2+ goals
45%
Djurgardens IF 3+ goals
20%
Gais 1+ goals
68%
Gais 2+ goals
31%
Gais 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Djurgardens IF (draw refunded)
62%
Gais (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Djurgardens IF at home — creates 1.88, concedes 0.96 · 21 matches

Gais away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.17 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Djurgardens IF attack 1.88 + Gais defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.52

Gais attack 1.30 + Djurgardens IF defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Djurgardens IF scores more
46%
level
26%
Gais scores more
28%

Djurgardens IF at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Djurgardens IF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

2
M. de BrienneGaisGais · D
7.9

Match Events

28'
William Milovanovic
36'
Gustav Lundgren
45+1'
Albin Ekdal
54'
D. Stensson← A. Ekdal
60'
A. Henriksson← I. Diabate
63'
T. Gulliksen← Z. Sawo
63'
A. Stahl← T. Bergvall
73'
R. Niklasson← C. Amatkarijo
73'
K. Holmen← W. Milovanovic
73'
L. Hedlund← A. Boudri
75'
August Priske
75'
Axel Henriksson
79'
K. Kosugi← A. Priske
79'
I. Alemayehu Mulugeta← S. Haarala
90'
R. Wendin← M. de Brienne

Possession

55%Djurgardens

Shots

9Djurgardens

Pass accuracy

50%Djurgardens

Statistics

DjurgardensGais
Overview
55%Possession45%
9Total Shots6
0.90Expected Goals (xG)0.34
5Corners3
12Fouls17
Shots
9Total Shots6
2On Target1
7Off Target5
0Blocked0
6Inside Box3
3Outside Box3
Passing
55%Possession45%
568Total Passes470
475Accurate Passes393
84%Pass Accuracy84%
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
Discipline
12Fouls17
2Yellow Cards3
1Offsides3

Allsvenskan: Djurgardens IF 0–0 Gais

Djurgardens IF and Gais drew 0-0 in Allsvenskan on April 21, 2025.

Djurgardens IF controlled possession (55%) and registered 9 shots to 6.

The match was played at 3Arena in Stockholm.