Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dinamo Bryansk vs Tekstilshchik — League #1064 2026

Dinamo Bryansk
Dinamo Bryansk
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Tekstilshchik
Tekstilshchik
6/9/2024League #1064League #1064 · Spring Season Silver - 18Stadion Dinamo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Dinamo Bryansk13%
×Draw27%
Tekstilshchik60%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Bryansk
0.52
Tekstilshchik
1.43

Tekstilshchik creates 175% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 7 away

creates per match

Dinamo Bryansk
0.33
Tekstilshchik
0.86

allows per match

Dinamo Bryansk
2.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71

finishing

Dinamo Bryansk+0.00on par
Tekstilshchik+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Bryansk ↓

Tekstilshchik →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–120%
0–215%
0–37%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–02%
2–13%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Dinamo Bryansk or draw
40%
Dinamo Bryansk or Tekstilshchik
73%
Draw or Tekstilshchik
87%

Winning margin

Dinamo Bryansk wins by 2+
3%
Tekstilshchik wins by 2+
31%

Team goals

Dinamo Bryansk 1+ goals
41%
Dinamo Bryansk 2+ goals
10%
Dinamo Bryansk 3+ goals
2%
Tekstilshchik 1+ goals
76%
Tekstilshchik 2+ goals
42%
Tekstilshchik 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Bryansk (draw refunded)
18%
Tekstilshchik (draw refunded)
82%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Bryansk at home — creates 0.33, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

Tekstilshchik away — creates 0.86, concedes 0.71 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Bryansk attack 0.33 + Tekstilshchik defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.52

Tekstilshchik attack 0.86 + Dinamo Bryansk defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Dinamo Bryansk scores more
13%
level
27%
Tekstilshchik scores more
60%

Tekstilshchik at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Tekstilshchik will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #1064: Dinamo Bryansk 1–2 Tekstilshchik

Tekstilshchik beat Dinamo Bryansk 2-1 in League #1064 on June 9, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Dinamo in Bryansk.