Degerfors IF 0–0 BK Hacken: Result & Stats

Degerfors IF

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

BK Hacken

8/10/2025

Allsvenskan · Round 19Stora Valla

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 20+ matches

Degerfors IF37%

×Draw25%

BK Hacken39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Degerfors IFExpected goals in this matchBK Hacken

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.43

1.48

Degerfors IF

1.43

BK Hacken

1.48

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 22 home / 20 away

1.10

creates per match

1.50

1.45

allows per match

1.75

creates per match

Degerfors IF

1.10

BK Hacken

1.50

allows per match

Degerfors IF

1.45

BK Hacken

1.75

-0.33scores less than expected

finishing

-0.20scores less than expected

finishing

Degerfors IF-0.33scores less

BK Hacken-0.20scores less

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Degerfors IF ↓

BK Hacken →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Degerfors IF or draw

61%

Degerfors IF or BK Hacken

75%

Draw or BK Hacken

63%

Winning margin

Degerfors IF wins by 2+

17%

BK Hacken wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Degerfors IF 1+ goals

76%

Degerfors IF 2+ goals

42%

Degerfors IF 3+ goals

17%

BK Hacken 1+ goals

77%

BK Hacken 2+ goals

43%

BK Hacken 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Degerfors IF (draw refunded)

49%

BK Hacken (draw refunded)

51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Degerfors IF at home — creates 1.10, concedes 1.45 · 22 matches

BK Hacken away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.75 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Degerfors IF attack 1.10 + BK Hacken defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.43

BK Hacken attack 1.50 + Degerfors IF defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Degerfors IF scores more

37%

level

25%

BK Hacken scores more

39%

BK Hacken at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "BK Hacken will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

26

M. Igonen

Degerfors IF · G

8.2

Match Events

37'

46'

50'

52'

68'

J. Lindberg← S. Jansson

68'

I. Brusberg← M. Rygaard

80'

P. Dahbo← H. Hilvenius

80'

D. Al Saed← A. Layouni

84'

Adi Fisic

84'

Sanders Ngabo

89'

H. Smedberg← E. Barsoum

90+1'

Christos Gravius

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DegerforsBK

Overview

31%Possession69%

9Total Shots15

1.23Expected Goals (xG)1.91

4Corners7

13Fouls9

Shots

9Total Shots15

2On Target6

6Off Target4

1Blocked5

6Inside Box9

3Outside Box6

Passing

31%Possession69%

264Total Passes610

178Accurate Passes532

67%Pass Accuracy87%

Goalkeeping

6Saves2

Discipline

13Fouls9

3Yellow Cards2

Allsvenskan: Degerfors IF 0–0 BK Hacken

Degerfors IF and BK Hacken drew 0-0 in Allsvenskan on August 10, 2025.

BK Hacken controlled possession (69%) and registered 15 shots to 9.

The match was played at Stora Valla in Degerfors.

Degerfors IF vs BK Hacken — Allsvenskan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Allsvenskan: Degerfors IF 0–0 BK Hacken