CSF Bălți 4–0 Sfîntul Gheorghe: Result & Stats

CSF Bălți

FT

4 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Sfîntul Gheorghe

S. Mișcov 90+3'

S. Cojocari 72'

M. Nwautobo 69'

Taira 2'

10/28/2022

Super Liga · Round 13Stadionul Orăşenesc

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

CSF Bălți36%

×Draw26%

Sfîntul Gheorghe38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CSF BălțiExpected goals in this matchSfîntul Gheorghe

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.31

1.35

CSF Bălți

1.31

Sfîntul Gheorghe

1.35

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 63 home / 56 away

1.21

creates per match

1.46

1.25

allows per match

1.41

creates per match

CSF Bălți

1.21

Sfîntul Gheorghe

1.46

allows per match

CSF Bălți

1.25

Sfîntul Gheorghe

1.41

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

CSF Bălți+0.00on par

Sfîntul Gheorghe+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSF Bălți ↓

Sfîntul Gheorghe →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

CSF Bălți or draw

62%

CSF Bălți or Sfîntul Gheorghe

74%

Draw or Sfîntul Gheorghe

64%

Winning margin

CSF Bălți wins by 2+

16%

Sfîntul Gheorghe wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

CSF Bălți 1+ goals

73%

CSF Bălți 2+ goals

38%

CSF Bălți 3+ goals

14%

Sfîntul Gheorghe 1+ goals

74%

Sfîntul Gheorghe 2+ goals

39%

Sfîntul Gheorghe 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

CSF Bălți (draw refunded)

49%

Sfîntul Gheorghe (draw refunded)

51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CSF Bălți at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.25 · 63 matches

Sfîntul Gheorghe away — creates 1.46, concedes 1.41 · 56 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CSF Bălți attack 1.21 + Sfîntul Gheorghe defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.31

Sfîntul Gheorghe attack 1.46 + CSF Bălți defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

CSF Bălți scores more

36%

level

26%

Sfîntul Gheorghe scores more

38%

Sfîntul Gheorghe at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Sfîntul Gheorghe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

2'

Taira

54'

S. Svinarenco

56'

D. Danu

62'

A. Suvorov← C. Calaidjoglu

62'

M. Căruntu← C. Pozatzidis

62'

69'

72'

75'

79'

S. Mișcov← M. Nwautobo

83'

V. Yakovlev← S. Cojocari

85'

N. Picus← Z. Randriambololona

85'

V. Boico← A. Rusnac

86'

V. Guțu← A. Cojocari

90+3'

S. Mișcov

CSF

Sfîntul

22

19

4

66

3

88

▼

Cojocari

99

▼

Calaidjog

37

Pușcaș

48

▼

Bunga

15

▼

Ihekuna

9

▼

16

44

32

31

⚽

Taira

24

⚽

▼

Cojocari

22

▼

Rusnac

10

▼

2

11

8

19

⚽

▼

Nwautobo

Manager: V. Rusnac

79'▲S. Mișcov←▼M. Nwautobo

83'▲V. Yakovlev←▼S. Cojocari

85'▲N. Picus←▼Z. Randriambololona

85'▲V. Boico←▼A. Rusnac

CSF Bălți substitutes

17Mișcov7Yakovlev77Picus3Boico1Straistari64Creciun18Cambura21Neagu

Manager: N. Mandrîcenco

62'▲A. Suvorov←▼C. Calaidjoglu

62'▲M. Căruntu←▼C. Pozatzidis

62'▲V. Paireli←▼K. Bunga

75'▲D. Lisu←▼M. Ihekuna

86'▲V. Guțu←▼A. Cojocari

Sfîntul Gheorghe substitutes

7Suvorov10Căruntu21Paireli8Lisu28Guțu16Butucel18Smirnov24Ngah

Super Liga: CSF Bălți 4–0 Sfîntul Gheorghe

CSF Bălți beat Sfîntul Gheorghe 4-0 in Super Liga on October 28, 2022.

Goals: Taira (2'), M. Nwautobo (69'), S. Cojocari (72'), S. Mișcov (90+3').

The match was played at Stadionul Orăşenesc in Bălţi.

CSF Bălți vs Sfîntul Gheorghe — Super Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Super Liga: CSF Bălți 4–0 Sfîntul Gheorghe