Scoreo

Clermont Foot vs ReimsLigue 1 2026

Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot
FT
00
HT: 00
Reims
Reims
1/9/2022Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Round 20Stade Gabriel Montpied

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Clermont Foot32%
×Draw27%
Reims41%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 584,459 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Clermont Foot
1.13
Reims
1.33

Reims creates 18% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 93 away

creates per match

Clermont Foot
1.00
Reims
1.04

allows per match

Clermont Foot
1.62
Reims
1.25

finishing

Clermont Foot+0.00on par
Reims+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clermont Foot

Reims
0
1
2
3
4
0
009%
0111%
028%
033%
041%
1
1010%
1113%
129%
134%
141%
2
205%
217%
225%
232%
241%
3
302%
313%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
45%55%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Clermont Foot or draw
59%
Clermont Foot or Reims
73%
Draw or Reims
68%

Winning margin

Clermont Foot wins by 2+
13%
Reims wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Clermont Foot 1+ goals
68%
Clermont Foot 2+ goals
31%
Clermont Foot 3+ goals
11%
Reims 1+ goals
74%
Reims 2+ goals
38%
Reims 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)
43%
Reims (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clermont Foot at homecreates 1.00, concedes 1.62 · 45 matches

Reims awaycreates 1.04, concedes 1.25 · 93 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clermont Foot attack 1.00 + Reims defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.13

Reims attack 1.04 + Clermont Foot defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Clermont Foot scores more
32%
level
27%
Reims scores more
41%

Reims at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Reims will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1
P. RajkovićReimsReims · G
8.9

Possession

55%Clermont

Shots

12Clermont

Pass accuracy

50%Clermont

Statistics

ClermontReims
Overview
55%Possession45%
12Total Shots7
6Corners2
13Fouls24
Shots
12Total Shots7
7On Target2
1Off Target2
4Blocked3
8Inside Box5
4Outside Box2
Passing
55%Possession45%
426Total Passes351
350Accurate Passes286
82%Pass Accuracy81%
Goalkeeping
2Saves7
Discipline
13Fouls24
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
2Offsides4

Ligue 1: Clermont Foot 0–0 Reims

Clermont Foot and Reims drew 0-0 in Ligue 1 on January 9, 2022.

Clermont Foot controlled possession (55%) and registered 12 shots to 7.

The match was played at Stade Gabriel Montpied in Clermont-Ferrand.