Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

CF Pachuca vs Atlas — Liga MX 2022

CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Atlas
Atlas
2/2/2025Liga MXLiga MX · Clausura - 5Estadio Hidalgo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

CF Pachuca48%
×Draw29%
Atlas23%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CF Pachuca
1.26
Atlas
0.77

CF Pachuca creates 64% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 5 away

creates per match

CF Pachuca
1.13
Atlas
0.71

allows per match

CF Pachuca
0.83
Atlas
1.40

finishing

CF Pachuca+0.49scores more
Atlas-0.11scores less

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CF Pachuca ↓

Atlas →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

CF Pachuca or draw
77%
CF Pachuca or Atlas
71%
Draw or Atlas
52%

Winning margin

CF Pachuca wins by 2+
22%
Atlas wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

CF Pachuca 1+ goals
72%
CF Pachuca 2+ goals
36%
CF Pachuca 3+ goals
13%
Atlas 1+ goals
54%
Atlas 2+ goals
18%
Atlas 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

CF Pachuca (draw refunded)
68%
Atlas (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CF Pachuca at home — creates 1.13, concedes 0.83 · 13 matches

Atlas away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.40 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CF Pachuca attack 1.13 + Atlas defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.26

Atlas attack 0.71 + CF Pachuca defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

CF Pachuca scores more
48%
level
29%
Atlas scores more
23%

CF Pachuca at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "CF Pachuca will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

32
C. SánchezCF PachucaCF Pachuca · D
7.9

Match Events

16'
J. L. Guzman Rodriguez
30'
D. Gonzalez
36'
J. Lopez
55'
John Kennedy← J. López
55'
S. Rondón← I. Hernández
56'
O. González← E. Rodríguez
57'
R. Lozano← J. Guzmán
57'
P. Ramírez← D. González
62'
E. Montiel← A. Bautista
64'
J. Marquez
65'
C. Sanchez
72'
M. García← U. Đurđević
77'
P. Pedraza← J. Saldívar
85'
G. Aguirre← C. Orrantía
86'
M. Cóccaro← L. Flores

Possession

57%CF

Shots

15CF

Pass accuracy

52%CF

Statistics

CFAtlas
Overview
57%Possession43%
15Total Shots10
6Corners2
16Fouls13
Shots
15Total Shots10
4On Target3
8Off Target5
3Blocked2
11Inside Box2
4Outside Box8
Passing
57%Possession43%
429Total Passes312
360Accurate Passes245
84%Pass Accuracy79%
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
Discipline
16Fouls13
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Offsides1

Liga MX: CF Pachuca 0–0 Atlas

CF Pachuca and Atlas drew 0-0 in Liga MX on February 2, 2025.

CF Pachuca controlled possession (57%) and registered 15 shots to 10.

The match was played at Estadio Hidalgo in Pachuca de Soto.