Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bristol Rovers vs Walsall — League Two 2018

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Preview
15:00
Walsall
Walsall
12/26/2026League TwoLeague Two · Round 21Memorial Stadium
Big match
41%
Walsall
model favours
34%25%41%

Bristol Rovers score first in only 27% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
57%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 11+ matches

Bristol Rovers34%
×Draw25%
Walsall41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bristol Rovers
1.34
Walsall
1.49

Walsall creates 11% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 11 away

creates per match

Bristol Rovers
1.40
Walsall
1.85

allows per match

Bristol Rovers
1.13
Walsall
1.29

finishing

Bristol Rovers+0.03on par
Walsall-0.03on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bristol Rovers ↓

Walsall →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
54%46%3.5
31%69%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Bristol Rovers or draw
59%
Bristol Rovers or Walsall
75%
Draw or Walsall
66%

Winning margin

Bristol Rovers wins by 2+
15%
Walsall wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Bristol Rovers 1+ goals
74%
Bristol Rovers 2+ goals
39%
Bristol Rovers 3+ goals
15%
Walsall 1+ goals
77%
Walsall 2+ goals
44%
Walsall 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Bristol Rovers (draw refunded)
46%
Walsall (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bristol Rovers at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.13 · 14 matches

Walsall away — creates 1.85, concedes 1.29 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bristol Rovers attack 1.40 + Walsall defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.34

Walsall attack 1.85 + Bristol Rovers defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.49

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Bristol Rovers scores more
34%
level
25%
Walsall scores more
41%

Walsall at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Walsall will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 82% of Bristol Rovers’s matches
  • 73% of Bristol Rovers’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Style contrast — Bristol Rovers play Defensively solid, Walsall Direct / counter-attacking

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Bristol Rovers
Defensively solid
Walsall
Direct / counter-attacking
52%PossessionBiggest gap44%
66%Pass accuracy64%
12.1Shots12.1
1.38xG1.47
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Bristol RoversWalsall

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

4
Bristol Rovers
0
Draws
2
Walsall
Avg goals: 2.3BTTS: 50%
2–01–21–02–13–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Rovers
DDLW
Walsall
LDLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Bristol Rovers vs Walsall — Match Preview

Bristol Rovers face Walsall on December 26, 2026 in this League Two fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Bristol Rovers host Walsall at Memorial Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.