Brann 0–0 Rosenborg: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Brann

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Rosenborg

5/11/2025

Eliteserien · Round 6Brann Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 31+ matches

Brann55%

×Draw22%

Rosenborg23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BrannExpected goals in this matchRosenborg

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.99

1.21

Brann

1.99

Rosenborg

1.21

Brann creates 64% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 31 away

2.10

creates per match

1.38

1.04

allows per match

1.87

creates per match

Brann

2.10

Rosenborg

1.38

allows per match

Brann

1.04

Rosenborg

1.87

+0.03on par

finishing

-0.03on par

finishing

Brann+0.03on par

Rosenborg-0.03on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Brann ↓

Rosenborg →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

39%61%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Brann or draw

77%

Brann or Rosenborg

78%

Draw or Rosenborg

45%

Winning margin

Brann wins by 2+

32%

Rosenborg wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Brann 1+ goals

86%

Brann 2+ goals

59%

Brann 3+ goals

32%

Rosenborg 1+ goals

70%

Rosenborg 2+ goals

34%

Rosenborg 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Brann (draw refunded)

71%

Rosenborg (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

51%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Brann at home — creates 2.10, concedes 1.04 · 31 matches

Rosenborg away — creates 1.38, concedes 1.87 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Brann attack 2.10 + Rosenborg defence 1.87 → ÷2 → 1.99

Rosenborg attack 1.38 + Brann defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Brann scores more

55%

level

22%

Rosenborg scores more

23%

Brann at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Brann will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3

F. Knudsen

Brann · D

8.2

Match Events

33'

Marius Sivertsen Broholm

68'

O. Saeter← E. K. Ceide

74'

J. Torsvik← E. Fauske Helland

74'

J. Soltvedt← M. Sande

80'

O. Selnaes← I. Fossum

81'

M. Hansen← B. Finne

86'

J. Mortensen← E. Reitan

86'

I. Thorvaldsson← N. Holm

87'

Joachim Soltvedt

89'

Japhet Sery Larsen

89'

Ole Christian Saeter

90+1'

R. Holten← T. Pedersen

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BrannRosenborg

Overview

68%Possession32%

14Total Shots6

1.54Expected Goals (xG)0.33

8Corners6

16Fouls12

Shots

14Total Shots6

3On Target3

9Off Target3

2Blocked0

9Inside Box4

5Outside Box2

Passing

68%Possession32%

596Total Passes275

524Accurate Passes204

88%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

16Fouls12

2Yellow Cards2

0Offsides2