Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Brann: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Bodo/Glimt

FT

3 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Brann

U. Saltnes 47'

K. Hogh 40'

O. Blomberg 5'

6/21/2025

Eliteserien · Round 10Aspmyra Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 13+ matches

Bodo/Glimt56%

×Draw21%

Brann23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bodo/GlimtExpected goals in this matchBrann

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.08

1.25

Bodo/Glimt

2.08

Brann

1.25

Bodo/Glimt creates 66% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 13 away

2.64

creates per match

1.68

0.81

allows per match

1.53

creates per match

Bodo/Glimt

2.64

Brann

1.68

allows per match

Bodo/Glimt

0.81

Brann

1.53

+0.62scores more than expected

finishing

+0.09on par

finishing

Bodo/Glimt+0.62scores more

Brann+0.09on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bodo/Glimt ↓

Brann →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–19%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Bodo/Glimt or draw

77%

Bodo/Glimt or Brann

79%

Draw or Brann

44%

Winning margin

Bodo/Glimt wins by 2+

34%

Brann wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Bodo/Glimt 1+ goals

87%

Bodo/Glimt 2+ goals

61%

Bodo/Glimt 3+ goals

34%

Brann 1+ goals

71%

Brann 2+ goals

36%

Brann 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Bodo/Glimt (draw refunded)

71%

Brann (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bodo/Glimt at home — creates 2.64, concedes 0.81 · 19 matches

Brann away — creates 1.68, concedes 1.53 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bodo/Glimt attack 2.64 + Brann defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 2.08

Brann attack 1.68 + Bodo/Glimt defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Bodo/Glimt scores more

56%

level

21%

Brann scores more

23%

Bodo/Glimt at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Bodo/Glimt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

P. Berg

Bodo/Glimt · M

8.9

Match Events

5'

O. Blomberg↳ H. Evjen

36'

Kasper HøghGoal cancelled

40'

K. Hogh↳ P. Berg

43'

Kasper HøghGoal confirmed

47'

U. Saltnes↳ P. Berg

61'

U. Mathisen← E. Gudmundsson

61'

D. De Roeve← J. Soltvedt

71'

S. Auklend← H. Evjen

71'

A. Helmersen← K. Hogh

71'

M. Hansen← B. Finne

71'

R. Holten← T. Pedersen

78'

S. Fet← U. Saltnes

78'

I. Maatta← O. Blomberg

79'

Odin Luras Bjørtuft

87'

J. Kjaer← F. Bjorkan

87'

M. Haaland← E. Kornvig

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Bodo/GlimtBrann

Overview

47%Possession53%

13Total Shots8

1.50Expected Goals (xG)0.64

9Corners2

9Fouls12

Shots

13Total Shots8

5On Target3

4Off Target1

4Blocked4

10Inside Box5

3Outside Box3

Passing

47%Possession53%

483Total Passes562

401Accurate Passes479

83%Pass Accuracy85%

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

Discipline

9Fouls12

1Yellow Cards0

5Offsides2

Match Recap: Bodo/Glimt vs Brann

Bodo/Glimt beat Brann 3-0 in Eliteserien on June 21, 2025.

Goals: O. Blomberg (5'), K. Hogh (40'), U. Saltnes (47').

Brann controlled possession (53%) and registered 8 shots to 13.

The match was played at Aspmyra Stadion in Bodo.

Bodo/Glimt vs Brann — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Bodo/Glimt vs Brann