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Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Austria Lustenau
Austria Lustenau
FT
0 – 6
HT: 0 – 2
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
1/31/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Austria Lustenau10%
×Draw12%
WSG Wattens77%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Austria Lustenau
1.27
WSG Wattens
3.48

WSG Wattens creates 174% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 9 away

creates per match

Austria Lustenau
1.54
WSG Wattens
5.33

allows per match

Austria Lustenau
1.62
WSG Wattens
1.00

finishing

Austria Lustenau+0.00on par
WSG Wattens+0.00on par

Total goals

84%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Austria Lustenau ↓

WSG Wattens →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–26%
0–36%
0–46%
1
1–01%
1–14%
1–27%
1–38%
1–47%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–25%
2–35%
2–45%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–22%
3–32%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–3 (8%) · grid covers 77% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
84%16%3.5
68%32%4.5
48%52%

Double chance

Austria Lustenau or draw
23%
Austria Lustenau or WSG Wattens
88%
Draw or WSG Wattens
90%

Winning margin

Austria Lustenau wins by 2+
4%
WSG Wattens wins by 2+
59%

Team goals

Austria Lustenau 1+ goals
72%
Austria Lustenau 2+ goals
36%
Austria Lustenau 3+ goals
14%
WSG Wattens 1+ goals
97%
WSG Wattens 2+ goals
85%
WSG Wattens 3+ goals
65%

Draw no bet

Austria Lustenau (draw refunded)
12%
WSG Wattens (draw refunded)
88%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Austria Lustenau at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.62 · 13 matches

WSG Wattens away — creates 5.33, concedes 1.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Austria Lustenau attack 1.54 + WSG Wattens defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.27

WSG Wattens attack 5.33 + Austria Lustenau defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 3.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 77%?"

Austria Lustenau scores more
10%
level
12%
WSG Wattens scores more
77%

WSG Wattens at 77% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 77% does not mean "WSG Wattens will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens

WSG Wattens beat Austria Lustenau 6-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 31, 2026.