Always Ready 4–0 Real Tomayapo: Result & Stats

Always Ready

FT

4 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Real Tomayapo

H. Cuellar 81' (pen)

E. Triverio 69', 63'

D. Torrico 19'

4/4/2026

Primera División · Apertura - 1Estadio Municipal de El Alto

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 90+ matches

Always Ready68%

×Draw18%

Real Tomayapo13%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Always ReadyExpected goals in this matchReal Tomayapo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.25

0.87

Always Ready

2.25

Real Tomayapo

0.87

Always Ready creates 159% more chances

Season form · 127 home / 90 away

2.58

creates per match

0.87

allows per match

1.93

creates per match

Always Ready

2.58

Real Tomayapo

0.87

allows per match

Always Ready

0.87

Real Tomayapo

1.93

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Always Ready+0.00on par

Real Tomayapo+0.00on par

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Always Ready ↓

Real Tomayapo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–14%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–19%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–17%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Always Ready or draw

87%

Always Ready or Real Tomayapo

82%

Draw or Real Tomayapo

32%

Winning margin

Always Ready wins by 2+

45%

Real Tomayapo wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Always Ready 1+ goals

89%

Always Ready 2+ goals

65%

Always Ready 3+ goals

39%

Real Tomayapo 1+ goals

58%

Real Tomayapo 2+ goals

22%

Real Tomayapo 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Always Ready (draw refunded)

84%

Real Tomayapo (draw refunded)

16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Always Ready at home — creates 2.58, concedes 0.87 · 127 matches

Real Tomayapo away — creates 0.87, concedes 1.93 · 90 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Always Ready attack 2.58 + Real Tomayapo defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 2.25

Real Tomayapo attack 0.87 + Always Ready defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.87

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Always Ready scores more

68%

level

18%

Real Tomayapo scores more

13%

Always Ready at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Always Ready will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

E. Triverio

Always Ready · F

8.5

Match Events

4'

Mauricio Chajtur

19'

D. Torrico↳ C. Rodriguez

59'

Luis Caicedo

62'

R. Lima← F. Saucedo

62'

F. Nava← D. Torrico

62'

C. D. Medina Rodriguez← D. Rodriguez

63'

E. Triverio↳ R. Lima

69'

E. Triverio↳ J. Maraude

70'

K. Mamani← Robson

71'

M. G. Barbery Gil← J. Ribera

76'

Jesús MaraudePenalty confirmed

79'

Héctor CuellarGoal cancelled

81'

H. CuellarPenalty

82'

M. Mamani← J. Amoroso

82'

N. Cabrera← J. Maraude

85'

R. Eguez← M. Chajtur

85'

D. Torrez← D. Flores

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AlwaysReal

Overview

69%Possession31%

22Total Shots4

7Corners3

10Fouls8

Shots

22Total Shots4

12On Target0

7Off Target3

3Blocked1

14Inside Box3

8Outside Box1

Passing

69%Possession31%

513Total Passes232

473Accurate Passes176

92%Pass Accuracy76%

Goalkeeping

0Saves8

Discipline

10Fouls8

1Yellow Cards1

0Offsides2