Always Ready 1–1 Real Tomayapo: Result & Stats

Always Ready

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Real Tomayapo

D. Rodrígues 78'

A. Graneros 90+3'

7/13/2024

Primera División · Clausura - 5Estadio Municipal El Alto

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 90+ matches

Always Ready68%

×Draw18%

Real Tomayapo13%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Always ReadyExpected goals in this matchReal Tomayapo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.25

0.87

Always Ready

2.25

Real Tomayapo

0.87

Always Ready creates 159% more chances

Season form · 127 home / 90 away

2.58

creates per match

0.87

allows per match

1.93

creates per match

Always Ready

2.58

Real Tomayapo

0.87

allows per match

Always Ready

0.87

Real Tomayapo

1.93

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Always Ready+0.00on par

Real Tomayapo+0.00on par

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Always Ready ↓

Real Tomayapo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–14%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–19%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–17%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Always Ready or draw

87%

Always Ready or Real Tomayapo

82%

Draw or Real Tomayapo

32%

Winning margin

Always Ready wins by 2+

45%

Real Tomayapo wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Always Ready 1+ goals

89%

Always Ready 2+ goals

65%

Always Ready 3+ goals

39%

Real Tomayapo 1+ goals

58%

Real Tomayapo 2+ goals

22%

Real Tomayapo 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Always Ready (draw refunded)

84%

Real Tomayapo (draw refunded)

16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Always Ready at home — creates 2.58, concedes 0.87 · 127 matches

Real Tomayapo away — creates 0.87, concedes 1.93 · 90 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Always Ready attack 2.58 + Real Tomayapo defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 2.25

Real Tomayapo attack 0.87 + Always Ready defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.87

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Always Ready scores more

68%

level

18%

Real Tomayapo scores more

13%

Always Ready at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Always Ready will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

H. Cuellar

Always Ready · M

8.0

Match Events

28'

Adalid Terrazas

40'

Mijaíl Avilés

45+2'

Matias Noble

46'

R. Matheus← C. Cañozales

46'

D. Medina← J. Martínes

60'

A. Alcaraz← O. Becerra

61'

R. Méndez← M. Barbery

62'

M. Ovejero← J. Briceño

62'

D. Rodrígues← M. Paniagua

65'

Luis Caicedo

76'

J. Villamíl← M. Avilés

78'

D. Rodrígues

79'

Darlison Rodriguez

85'

Héctor Cuellar

86'

M. Salazar← A. Terrazas

86'

L. Figueroa← J. Orellana

86'

D. Pinto← S. Villamíl

90+2'

Marco Salazar

90+3'

A. Graneros

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

AlwaysReal

Overview

59%Possession41%

23Total Shots7

8Corners1

10Fouls6

Shots

23Total Shots7

4On Target3

12Off Target2

7Blocked2

12Inside Box4

11Outside Box3

Passing

59%Possession41%

464Total Passes335

406Accurate Passes266

88%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

10Fouls6

5Yellow Cards2

1Offsides0

Primera División: Always Ready 1–1 Real Tomayapo

Always Ready and Real Tomayapo drew 1-1 in Primera División on July 13, 2024.

Goals: D. Rodrígues (78'), A. Graneros (90+3').

Always Ready controlled possession (59%) and registered 23 shots to 7.

The match was played at Estadio Municipal El Alto in El Alto.

Always Ready vs Real Tomayapo — Primera División 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Primera División: Always Ready 1–1 Real Tomayapo