Águilas Doradas 0–0 Internacional de Bogota

Águilas Doradas

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Internacional de Bogota

3/1/2026

Primera A · Apertura - 9Estadio Alberto Grisales

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Águilas Doradas48%

×Draw27%

Internacional de Bogota25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Águilas DoradasExpected goals in this matchInternacional de Bogota

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.42

0.96

Águilas Doradas

1.42

Internacional de Bogota

0.96

Águilas Doradas creates 48% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 12 away

1.27

creates per match

0.81

1.11

allows per match

1.56

creates per match

Águilas Doradas

1.27

Internacional de Bogota

0.81

allows per match

Águilas Doradas

1.11

Internacional de Bogota

1.56

-0.27scores less than expected

finishing

-0.06on par

finishing

Águilas Doradas-0.27scores less

Internacional de Bogota-0.06on par

Total goals

Under58
Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Águilas Doradas ↓

Internacional de Bogota →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

42%58%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Águilas Doradas or draw

75%

Águilas Doradas or Internacional de Bogota

73%

Draw or Internacional de Bogota

52%

Winning margin

Águilas Doradas wins by 2+

23%

Internacional de Bogota wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Águilas Doradas 1+ goals

76%

Águilas Doradas 2+ goals

41%

Águilas Doradas 3+ goals

17%

Internacional de Bogota 1+ goals

62%

Internacional de Bogota 2+ goals

25%

Internacional de Bogota 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Águilas Doradas (draw refunded)

65%

Internacional de Bogota (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Águilas Doradas at home — creates 1.27, concedes 1.11 · 6 matches

Internacional de Bogota away — creates 0.81, concedes 1.56 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Águilas Doradas attack 1.27 + Internacional de Bogota defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.42

Internacional de Bogota attack 0.81 + Águilas Doradas defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Águilas Doradas scores more

48%

level

27%

Internacional de Bogota scores more

25%

Águilas Doradas at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Águilas Doradas will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

26

A. Irazoque

Internacional de Bogota · D

8.2

Match Events

20'

Jorge Rivaldo

29'

Juan Ávalo

65'

A. Ricaurte← J. E. Avalo Trejos

65'

C. Canozales← B. Uruena

66'

J. Valencia← F. Sanguinetti

76'

J. Obregon← J. Roa

76'

J. Pineda← F. A. Suarez Chalare

79'

Andrés Ricaurte

81'

Joan Castro

82'

J. Caballero← D. Moncada

82'

S. Mayo← F. Bone

86'

Samir Mayo

90+1'

Frank Lozano

90'

R. Manjarres← K. Parra Atehortua

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ÁguilasInternacional

Overview

52%Possession48%

12Total Shots10

0.81Expected Goals (xG)0.53

4Corners6

13Fouls14

Shots

12Total Shots10

5On Target4

4Off Target3

3Blocked3

9Inside Box5

3Outside Box5

Passing

52%Possession48%

346Total Passes313

251Accurate Passes216

73%Pass Accuracy69%

Goalkeeping

4Saves4

0.69Goals Prevented0.69

Discipline

13Fouls14

4Yellow Cards2

3Offsides0

Primera A: Águilas Doradas 0–0 Internacional de Bogota

Águilas Doradas and Internacional de Bogota drew 0-0 in Primera A on March 1, 2026.

Águilas Doradas controlled possession (52%) and registered 12 shots to 10.

The match was played at Estadio Alberto Grisales in Rionegro.

Águilas Doradas vs Internacional de Bogota — Primera A 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Primera A: Águilas Doradas 0–0 Internacional de Bogota