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Zlin vs Artis — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zlin
Zlin
CANC
13:00
Artis
Artis
2/3/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Letná

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Zlin46%
×Draw23%
Artis30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zlin
1.77
Artis
1.39

Zlin creates 27% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 18 away

creates per match

Zlin
1.83
Artis
1.56

allows per match

Zlin
1.22
Artis
1.72

finishing

Zlin+0.00on par
Artis+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zlin ↓

Artis →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Zlin or draw
70%
Zlin or Artis
77%
Draw or Artis
54%

Winning margin

Zlin wins by 2+
25%
Artis wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Zlin 1+ goals
83%
Zlin 2+ goals
53%
Zlin 3+ goals
26%
Artis 1+ goals
75%
Artis 2+ goals
40%
Artis 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Zlin (draw refunded)
60%
Artis (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zlin at home — creates 1.83, concedes 1.22 · 18 matches

Artis away — creates 1.56, concedes 1.72 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zlin attack 1.83 + Artis defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.77

Artis attack 1.56 + Zlin defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Zlin scores more
46%
level
23%
Artis scores more
30%

Zlin at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Zlin will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Zlin face Artis (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Zlin hosting Artis. Match starts February 3, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Zlin host Artis at Stadion Letná.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.