Zaragoza 1–1 Eibar: Result & Stats

Zaragoza

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Eibar

J. El Yamiq 26'

J. El Yamiq 55' (OG)

2/7/2026

Segunda División · Round 25Ibercaja Estadio

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 108+ matches

Zaragoza38%

×Draw29%

Eibar32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ZaragozaExpected goals in this matchEibar

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.13

1.02

Zaragoza

1.13

Eibar

1.02

Zaragoza creates 11% more chances

Season form · 169 home / 108 away

1.08

creates per match

0.99

1.05

allows per match

1.18

creates per match

Zaragoza

1.08

Eibar

0.99

allows per match

Zaragoza

1.05

Eibar

1.18

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Zaragoza+0.00on par

Eibar+0.00on par

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zaragoza ↓

Eibar →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–112%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Zaragoza or draw

68%

Zaragoza or Eibar

71%

Draw or Eibar

62%

Winning margin

Zaragoza wins by 2+

16%

Eibar wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Zaragoza 1+ goals

68%

Zaragoza 2+ goals

31%

Zaragoza 3+ goals

11%

Eibar 1+ goals

64%

Eibar 2+ goals

27%

Eibar 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Zaragoza (draw refunded)

54%

Eibar (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zaragoza at home — creates 1.08, concedes 1.05 · 169 matches

Eibar away — creates 0.99, concedes 1.18 · 108 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zaragoza attack 1.08 + Eibar defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.13

Eibar attack 0.99 + Zaragoza defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Zaragoza scores more

38%

level

29%

Eibar scores more

32%

Zaragoza at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Zaragoza will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

J. Magunagoitia

Eibar · G

7.7

Match Events

26'

J. El Yamiq↳ R. Gonzalez

46'

A. Garrido← L. Olaetxea

50'

F. Moyano← N. Cumic

55'

J. El YamiqOwn goal

59'

Peru Nolaskoain

61'

Ander Madariaga

63'

M. Soberon← R. Gonzalez

63'

W. Agada← M. A. Cuenca

64'

P. Akouokou← M. Mensah

66'

J. Martinez← A. Madariaga

66'

J. Bautista← Javier Marton

67'

Alberto Rodríguez

70'

Malcom Ares

80'

A. Rodriguez← A. Ares

86'

A. Radovanovic← Y. Saidu

86'

J. Magunazelaia Argoitia← J. Guruzeta

90+3'

Jawad El Yamiq

90+3'

Aleix Garrido

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ZaragozaEibar

Overview

42%Possession58%

12Total Shots4

5Corners7

10Fouls19

Shots

12Total Shots4

3On Target2

6Off Target0

3Blocked2

9Inside Box3

3Outside Box1

Passing

42%Possession58%

354Total Passes487

287Accurate Passes414

81%Pass Accuracy85%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

10Fouls19

1Yellow Cards4

1Red Cards0

Segunda División: Zaragoza 1–1 Eibar

Zaragoza and Eibar drew 1-1 in Segunda División on February 7, 2026.

Goals: J. El Yamiq (26', 55' o.g.).

Eibar controlled possession (58%) and registered 4 shots to 12.

The match was played at Ibercaja Estadio in Zaragoza.

Zaragoza vs Eibar — Segunda División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Segunda División: Zaragoza 1–1 Eibar