Watford 0–0 QPR: Result & Stats | Championship

Watford

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

QPR

11/30/2024

Championship · Round 18Vicarage Road

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Watford42%

×Draw28%

QPR30%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

WatfordExpected goals in this matchQPR

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

1.04

Watford

1.27

QPR

1.04

Watford creates 22% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 8 away

1.37

creates per match

0.93

1.16

allows per match

1.16

creates per match

Watford

1.37

QPR

0.93

allows per match

Watford

1.16

QPR

1.16

-0.04on par

finishing

+0.45scores more than expected

finishing

Watford-0.04on par

QPR+0.45scores more

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Watford ↓

QPR →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

41%59%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Watford or draw

70%

Watford or QPR

72%

Draw or QPR

58%

Winning margin

Watford wins by 2+

19%

QPR wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Watford 1+ goals

72%

Watford 2+ goals

36%

Watford 3+ goals

14%

QPR 1+ goals

65%

QPR 2+ goals

28%

QPR 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Watford (draw refunded)

58%

QPR (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Watford at home — creates 1.37, concedes 1.16 · 27 matches

QPR away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.16 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Watford attack 1.37 + QPR defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.27

QPR attack 0.93 + Watford defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Watford scores more

42%

level

28%

QPR scores more

30%

Watford at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Watford will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

P. Nardi

QPR · G

7.9

Match Events

2'

Nicolas Madsen

34'

Francisco Sierralta

46'

R. Vata← F. Sierralta

46'

54'

57'

64'

65'

F. Ebosele← Y. Larouci

65'

J. Ngakia← R. Andrews

71'

M. Fox← K. Paal

71'

H. Ashby← P. Smyth

72'

L. Andersen← K. Morgan

79'

T. Ince← M. Sissoko

88'

Sam Field

90+2'

E. Dixon-Bonner← K. Saito

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

WatfordQPR

Overview

62%Possession38%

17Total Shots16

0.79Expected Goals (xG)1.25

7Corners5

17Fouls14

Shots

17Total Shots16

6On Target1

5Off Target8

6Blocked7

5Inside Box11

12Outside Box5

Passing

62%Possession38%

468Total Passes277

394Accurate Passes199

84%Pass Accuracy72%

Goalkeeping

1Saves6

0.56Goals Prevented0.56

Discipline

17Fouls14

2Yellow Cards3

1Offsides1

Championship: Watford 0–0 QPR

Watford and QPR drew 0-0 in Championship on November 30, 2024.

Watford controlled possession (62%) and registered 17 shots to 16.

The match was played at Vicarage Road in Watford.

Watford vs QPR — Championship 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Championship: Watford 0–0 QPR