WAFA 2–0 Elmina Sharks: Result & Stats

WAFA

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Elmina Sharks

S. Agyapong 51'

J. Torsutsey 45+2' (pen)

1/2/2022

Premier League · Round 11West Africa Football Academy Sports Complex

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 41+ matches

WAFA59%

×Draw25%

Elmina Sharks16%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

WAFAExpected goals in this matchElmina Sharks

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.60

0.71

WAFA

1.60

Elmina Sharks

0.71

WAFA creates 125% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 41 away

1.44

creates per match

0.59

0.83

allows per match

1.76

creates per match

WAFA

1.44

Elmina Sharks

0.59

allows per match

WAFA

0.83

Elmina Sharks

1.76

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

WAFA+0.00on par

Elmina Sharks+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

WAFA ↓

Elmina Sharks →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–15%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

41%59%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

WAFA or draw

84%

WAFA or Elmina Sharks

75%

Draw or Elmina Sharks

41%

Winning margin

WAFA wins by 2+

32%

Elmina Sharks wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

WAFA 1+ goals

80%

WAFA 2+ goals

47%

WAFA 3+ goals

22%

Elmina Sharks 1+ goals

51%

Elmina Sharks 2+ goals

16%

Elmina Sharks 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

WAFA (draw refunded)

78%

Elmina Sharks (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

WAFA at home — creates 1.44, concedes 0.83 · 41 matches

Elmina Sharks away — creates 0.59, concedes 1.76 · 41 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

WAFA attack 1.44 + Elmina Sharks defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.60

Elmina Sharks attack 0.59 + WAFA defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

WAFA scores more

59%

level

25%

Elmina Sharks scores more

16%

WAFA at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "WAFA will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

45+2'

J. TorsutseyPenalty

51'

S. Agyapong

64'

T. Mensah← T. Mensah

64'

S. Turkson← S. Turkson

65'

R. Appah← R. Appah

73'

A. Moses← A. Moses

76'

R. Darko

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: WAFA 2–0 Elmina Sharks

WAFA beat Elmina Sharks 2-0 in Premier League on January 2, 2022.

Goals: J. Torsutsey (45+2' pen), S. Agyapong (51').

The match was played at West Africa Football Academy Sports Complex in Sogakope.

WAFA vs Elmina Sharks — Premier League 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Premier League: WAFA 2–0 Elmina Sharks