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Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Eimsbütteler TV — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
FT
4 – 3
HT: 2 – 2
Eimsbütteler TV
Eimsbütteler TV
7/17/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Vorwärts-Wacker 0463%
×Draw15%
Eimsbütteler TV22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
3.83
Eimsbütteler TV
2.33

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 creates 64% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 6 away

creates per match

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
5.33
Eimsbütteler TV
1.00

allows per match

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
3.67
Eimsbütteler TV
2.33

finishing

Vorwärts-Wacker 04+0.00on par
Eimsbütteler TV+0.00on par

Total goals

94%Over
  • Over94
  • Under6

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

88%Yes
  • Yes88
  • No12

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 ↓

Eimsbütteler TV →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–01%
1–12%
1–22%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–02%
2–14%
2–25%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–26%
3–35%
3–43%
4
4–02%
4–15%
4–26%
4–34%
4–43%

Most likely 3–2 (6%) · grid covers 67% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
98%2%2.5
94%6%3.5
85%15%4.5
71%29%

Double chance

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 or draw
78%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 or Eimsbütteler TV
85%
Draw or Eimsbütteler TV
37%

Winning margin

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 wins by 2+
45%
Eimsbütteler TV wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 1+ goals
98%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 2+ goals
88%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 3+ goals
71%
Eimsbütteler TV 1+ goals
90%
Eimsbütteler TV 2+ goals
67%
Eimsbütteler TV 3+ goals
41%

Draw no bet

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 (draw refunded)
74%
Eimsbütteler TV (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
86%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 at home — creates 5.33, concedes 3.67 · 3 matches

Eimsbütteler TV away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 attack 5.33 + Eimsbütteler TV defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 3.83

Eimsbütteler TV attack 1.00 + Vorwärts-Wacker 04 defence 3.67 → ÷2 → 2.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 scores more
63%
level
15%
Eimsbütteler TV scores more
22%

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Vorwärts-Wacker 04 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Eimsbütteler TV

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 beat Eimsbütteler TV 4-3 in Friendlies Clubs on July 17, 2026.