Vorwärts-Wacker 04 3–4 Altona 93: Result & Stats

Vorwärts-Wacker 04

FT

3 – 4

HT: 2 – 2

Altona 93

E. Ates 80'

M. Netzbandt 19', 10'

J. Walter 82'

T. Can 52'

M. Tsimba-Eggers 31'

R. Tobinski 28'

2/24/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Vorwärts-Wacker 0446%

×Draw18%

Altona 9337%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Vorwärts-Wacker 04Expected goals in this matchAltona 93

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

3.29

2.96

Vorwärts-Wacker 04

3.29

Altona 93

2.96

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 creates 11% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 8 away

5.33

creates per match

2.25

3.67

allows per match

1.25

creates per match

Vorwärts-Wacker 04

5.33

Altona 93

2.25

allows per match

Vorwärts-Wacker 04

3.67

Altona 93

1.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Vorwärts-Wacker 04+0.00on par

Altona 93+0.00on par

Total goals

Over94
Under6

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes91
No9

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 ↓

Altona 93 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–00%

0–11%

0–21%

0–31%

0–41%

1

1–01%

1–12%

1–23%

1–33%

1–42%

2

2–01%

2–13%

2–25%

2–35%

2–44%

3

3–01%

3–14%

3–25%

3–35%

3–44%

4

4–01%

4–13%

4–24%

4–34%

4–43%

Most likely 2–2 (5%) · grid covers 68% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

100%0%1.5

98%2%2.5

94%6%3.5

86%14%4.5

72%28%

Double chance

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 or draw

63%

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 or Altona 93

82%

Draw or Altona 93

54%

Winning margin

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 wins by 2+

29%

Altona 93 wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 1+ goals

96%

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 2+ goals

83%

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 3+ goals

62%

Altona 93 1+ goals

95%

Altona 93 2+ goals

79%

Altona 93 3+ goals

55%

Draw no bet

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 (draw refunded)

56%

Altona 93 (draw refunded)

44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

89%

Both score & under 3

2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 at home — creates 5.33, concedes 3.67 · 3 matches

Altona 93 away — creates 2.25, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 attack 5.33 + Altona 93 defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 3.29

Altona 93 attack 2.25 + Vorwärts-Wacker 04 defence 3.67 → ÷2 → 2.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 scores more

46%

level

18%

Altona 93 scores more

37%

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Vorwärts-Wacker 04 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'

19'

28'

31'

52'

80'

82'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Altona 93

Altona 93 beat Vorwärts-Wacker 04 4-3 in Friendlies Clubs on February 24, 2026.

Goals: M. Netzbandt (10', 19'), R. Tobinski (28'), M. Tsimba-Eggers (31'), T. Can (52'), E. Ates (80'), J. Walter (82').

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Altona 93 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Altona 93