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Viktoria Žižkov vs Ústí nad Labem — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Viktoria Žižkov
Viktoria Žižkov
CANC
10:00
Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem
2/10/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Viktoria Žižkov61%
×Draw17%
Ústí nad Labem22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viktoria Žižkov
2.85
Ústí nad Labem
1.71

Viktoria Žižkov creates 67% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 17 away

creates per match

Viktoria Žižkov
3.00
Ústí nad Labem
1.53

allows per match

Viktoria Žižkov
1.88
Ústí nad Labem
2.71

finishing

Viktoria Žižkov+0.00on par
Ústí nad Labem+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Žižkov ↓

Ústí nad Labem →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–15%
1–24%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
66%34%4.5
46%54%

Double chance

Viktoria Žižkov or draw
78%
Viktoria Žižkov or Ústí nad Labem
83%
Draw or Ústí nad Labem
39%

Winning margin

Viktoria Žižkov wins by 2+
41%
Ústí nad Labem wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Viktoria Žižkov 1+ goals
94%
Viktoria Žižkov 2+ goals
77%
Viktoria Žižkov 3+ goals
53%
Ústí nad Labem 1+ goals
82%
Ústí nad Labem 2+ goals
51%
Ústí nad Labem 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Žižkov (draw refunded)
73%
Ústí nad Labem (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Žižkov at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.88 · 16 matches

Ústí nad Labem away — creates 1.53, concedes 2.71 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Žižkov attack 3.00 + Ústí nad Labem defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 2.85

Ústí nad Labem attack 1.53 + Viktoria Žižkov defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Viktoria Žižkov scores more
61%
level
17%
Ústí nad Labem scores more
22%

Viktoria Žižkov at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Viktoria Žižkov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Viktoria Žižkov host Ústí nad Labem

February 10, 2024: Viktoria Žižkov take on Ústí nad Labem in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.