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Viktoria Otrokovice vs Start Brno — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Viktoria Otrokovice
Viktoria Otrokovice
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 2
Start Brno
Start Brno
1/17/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Viktoria Otrokovice48%
×Draw19%
Start Brno33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viktoria Otrokovice
2.50
Start Brno
2.08

Viktoria Otrokovice creates 20% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Viktoria Otrokovice
2.67
Start Brno
1.83

allows per match

Viktoria Otrokovice
2.33
Start Brno
2.33

finishing

Viktoria Otrokovice+0.00on par
Start Brno+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

80%Yes
  • Yes80
  • No20

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Otrokovice ↓

Start Brno →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–15%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
66%34%4.5
47%53%

Double chance

Viktoria Otrokovice or draw
67%
Viktoria Otrokovice or Start Brno
81%
Draw or Start Brno
52%

Winning margin

Viktoria Otrokovice wins by 2+
29%
Start Brno wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Viktoria Otrokovice 1+ goals
92%
Viktoria Otrokovice 2+ goals
71%
Viktoria Otrokovice 3+ goals
45%
Start Brno 1+ goals
87%
Start Brno 2+ goals
61%
Start Brno 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Otrokovice (draw refunded)
59%
Start Brno (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
75%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Otrokovice at home — creates 2.67, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

Start Brno away — creates 1.83, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Otrokovice attack 2.67 + Start Brno defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.50

Start Brno attack 1.83 + Viktoria Otrokovice defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Viktoria Otrokovice scores more
48%
level
19%
Start Brno scores more
33%

Viktoria Otrokovice at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Viktoria Otrokovice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Viktoria Otrokovice 2–2 Start Brno

Viktoria Otrokovice and Start Brno drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 17, 2023.