Viking 1–1 ODD Ballklubb: Result & Stats

Viking

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

ODD Ballklubb

Y. de Lanlay 44'

V. Hoff 60'

11/13/2022

Eliteserien · Round 30SR-Bank Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 16+ matches

Viking63%

×Draw20%

ODD Ballklubb17%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

VikingExpected goals in this matchODD Ballklubb

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.19

1.06

Viking

2.19

ODD Ballklubb

1.06

Viking creates 107% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 16 away

2.16

creates per match

0.94

1.18

allows per match

2.22

creates per match

Viking

2.16

ODD Ballklubb

0.94

allows per match

Viking

1.18

ODD Ballklubb

2.22

+0.72scores more than expected

finishing

+0.12scores more than expected

finishing

Viking+0.72scores more

ODD Ballklubb+0.12scores more

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viking ↓

ODD Ballklubb →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–19%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–17%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Viking or draw

83%

Viking or ODD Ballklubb

80%

Draw or ODD Ballklubb

37%

Winning margin

Viking wins by 2+

40%

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Viking 1+ goals

89%

Viking 2+ goals

64%

Viking 3+ goals

37%

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals

65%

ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals

29%

ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Viking (draw refunded)

78%

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viking at home — creates 2.16, concedes 1.18 · 25 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 0.94, concedes 2.22 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viking attack 2.16 + ODD Ballklubb defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 2.19

ODD Ballklubb attack 0.94 + Viking defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Viking scores more

63%

level

20%

ODD Ballklubb scores more

17%

Viking at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Viking will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

F. Jørgensen

ODD Ballklubb · F

7.9

Match Events

37'

S. Svendsen← D. Karlsbakk

44'

50'

57'

57'

60'

64'

R. Vikstøl← N. Sandberg

64'

Z. Tripić← H. Tangen

70'

Zlatko Tripić

78'

M. Jevtović← G. Rólantsson

79'

A. Stensrud← D. Gjengaar

82'

E. Austbö← S. Svendsen

82'

M. Traoré← H. Haugen

89'

S. Aas← M. Ingebrigtsen

90+1'

Odin Luras Bjortuft

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

VikingODD

Overview

30%Possession70%

7Total Shots16

3Corners7

10Fouls8

Shots

7Total Shots16

2On Target4

4Off Target6

1Blocked6

5Inside Box12

2Outside Box4

Passing

30%Possession70%

291Total Passes677

201Accurate Passes597

69%Pass Accuracy88%

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

Discipline

10Fouls8

3Yellow Cards1

1Red Cards0

4Offsides3

Eliteserien: Viking 1–1 ODD Ballklubb

Viking and ODD Ballklubb drew 1-1 in Eliteserien on November 13, 2022.

Goals: Y. de Lanlay (44'), V. Hoff (60').

ODD Ballklubb controlled possession (70%) and registered 16 shots to 7.

The match was played at SR-Bank Arena in Stavanger.

Viking vs ODD Ballklubb — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Viking 1–1 ODD Ballklubb