ODD Ballklubb 1–1 Viking: Result & Stats

ODD Ballklubb

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Viking

S. Langås 26' (OG)

H. Tangen 3'

10/7/2023

Eliteserien · Round 24Skagerak Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 20+ matches

ODD Ballklubb28%

×Draw24%

Viking47%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ODD BallklubbExpected goals in this matchViking

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.22

1.64

ODD Ballklubb

1.22

Viking

1.64

Viking creates 34% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 29 away

1.35

creates per match

1.73

1.55

allows per match

1.08

creates per match

ODD Ballklubb

1.35

Viking

1.73

allows per match

ODD Ballklubb

1.55

Viking

1.08

+0.10scores more than expected

finishing

+0.24scores more than expected

finishing

ODD Ballklubb+0.10scores more

Viking+0.24scores more

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ODD Ballklubb ↓

Viking →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–19%

0–28%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

ODD Ballklubb or draw

53%

ODD Ballklubb or Viking

76%

Draw or Viking

72%

Winning margin

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+

12%

Viking wins by 2+

25%

Team goals

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals

70%

ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals

34%

ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals

12%

Viking 1+ goals

81%

Viking 2+ goals

49%

Viking 3+ goals

23%

Draw no bet

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)

38%

Viking (draw refunded)

62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ODD Ballklubb at home — creates 1.35, concedes 1.55 · 20 matches

Viking away — creates 1.73, concedes 1.08 · 29 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.35 + Viking defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.22

Viking attack 1.73 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

ODD Ballklubb scores more

28%

level

24%

Viking scores more

47%

Viking at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Viking will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

Z. Tripić

Viking · F

7.7

Match Events

3'

H. Tangen↳ S. Svendsen

5'

Harald TangenGoal confirmed

26'

S. LangåsOwn goal

35'

Tobias Hammer Svendsen

46'

H. Haugen← Y. de Lanlay

60'

Djibril Diop

76'

D. Gjengaar← M. Ingebrigtsen

76'

S. Auklend← J. Bell

76'

S. Adegbenro← S. Svendsen

82'

Zakaria Mugeese

82'

F. Tewelde← Z. Mugeese

82'

L. Hien← S. Johansen

90+3'

Solomon Owusu

90'

D. Tomas← F. Jørgensen

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ODDViking

Overview

49%Possession51%

16Total Shots7

1.00Expected Goals (xG)1.23

5Corners4

9Fouls10

Shots

16Total Shots7

6On Target4

5Off Target2

5Blocked1

12Inside Box5

4Outside Box2

Passing

49%Possession51%

463Total Passes483

376Accurate Passes389

81%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

3Saves6

Discipline

9Fouls10

3Yellow Cards1

1Offsides0

Eliteserien: ODD Ballklubb 1–1 Viking

ODD Ballklubb and Viking drew 1-1 in Eliteserien on October 7, 2023.

Goals: H. Tangen (3'), S. Langås (26' o.g.).

Viking controlled possession (51%) and registered 7 shots to 16.

The match was played at Skagerak Arena in Skien.

ODD Ballklubb vs Viking — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: ODD Ballklubb 1–1 Viking