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Unirea Slobozia vs Oţelul — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Unirea Slobozia
Unirea Slobozia
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Oţelul
Oţelul
1/10/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Unirea Slobozia7%
×Draw39%
Oţelul54%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Unirea Slobozia
0.17
Oţelul
0.92

Oţelul creates 441% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 3 away

creates per match

Unirea Slobozia
0.00
Oţelul
0.67

allows per match

Unirea Slobozia
1.17
Oţelul
0.33

finishing

Unirea Slobozia+0.00on par
Oţelul+0.00on par

Total goals

90%Under
  • Under90
  • Over10

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

91%No
  • No91
  • Yes9

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unirea Slobozia ↓

Oţelul →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–034%
0–131%
0–214%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–15%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–00%
2–10%
2–20%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (34%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
66%34%1.5
30%70%2.5
10%90%3.5
2%98%4.5
1%99%

Double chance

Unirea Slobozia or draw
46%
Unirea Slobozia or Oţelul
61%
Draw or Oţelul
93%

Winning margin

Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+
1%
Oţelul wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals
16%
Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals
1%
Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals
0%
Oţelul 1+ goals
60%
Oţelul 2+ goals
23%
Oţelul 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)
11%
Oţelul (draw refunded)
89%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
4%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unirea Slobozia at home — creates 0.00, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Oţelul away — creates 0.67, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unirea Slobozia attack 0.00 + Oţelul defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 0.17

Oţelul attack 0.67 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Unirea Slobozia scores more
7%
level
39%
Oţelul scores more
54%

Oţelul at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Oţelul will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Unirea
Oţelul
Andrei Prepelita
Manager: Andrei Prepelita
Laszlo Balint
Manager: Laszlo Balint

Match Recap: Unirea Slobozia vs Oţelul

Unirea Slobozia and Oţelul drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 10, 2026.