Unirea Slobozia 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj: Result & Stats

Unirea Slobozia

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

CFR 1907 Cluj

A. Cordea 42'

11/9/2025

Liga I · Round 16May 1 Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 20+ matches

Unirea Slobozia35%

×Draw27%

CFR 1907 Cluj38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Unirea SloboziaExpected goals in this matchCFR 1907 Cluj

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.23

1.30

Unirea Slobozia

1.23

CFR 1907 Cluj

1.30

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 20 home / 25 away

1.07

creates per match

1.25

1.35

allows per match

1.40

creates per match

Unirea Slobozia

1.07

CFR 1907 Cluj

1.25

allows per match

Unirea Slobozia

1.35

CFR 1907 Cluj

1.40

+0.03on par

finishing

-0.01on par

finishing

Unirea Slobozia+0.03on par

CFR 1907 Cluj-0.01on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unirea Slobozia ↓

CFR 1907 Cluj →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–110%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Unirea Slobozia or draw

62%

Unirea Slobozia or CFR 1907 Cluj

73%

Draw or CFR 1907 Cluj

65%

Winning margin

Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+

15%

CFR 1907 Cluj wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals

71%

Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals

35%

Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals

13%

CFR 1907 Cluj 1+ goals

73%

CFR 1907 Cluj 2+ goals

37%

CFR 1907 Cluj 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)

48%

CFR 1907 Cluj (draw refunded)

52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unirea Slobozia at home — creates 1.07, concedes 1.35 · 20 matches

CFR 1907 Cluj away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.40 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unirea Slobozia attack 1.07 + CFR 1907 Cluj defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.23

CFR 1907 Cluj attack 1.25 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Unirea Slobozia scores more

35%

level

27%

CFR 1907 Cluj scores more

38%

CFR 1907 Cluj at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "CFR 1907 Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

27

I. C. Gurau

Unirea Slobozia · G

7.9

Match Events

42'

A. Cordea↳ M. Ilie

46'

D. Djokovic← A. Fica

56'

A. Paun← L. Emerllahu

64'

C. Toma← D. Serbanica

64'

F. Purece← V. Hamdiu

64'

R. Espinosa← C. Afalna

70'

I. Slimani← L. Munteanu

71'

E. Florescu← C. Barbut

74'

Sheriff Sinyan

75'

P. Dulcea← V. Pop

82'

89'

90+6'

90+5'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

UnireaCFR

Overview

50%Possession50%

11Total Shots10

0.40Expected Goals (xG)0.61

9Corners4

16Fouls11

Shots

11Total Shots10

2On Target7

7Off Target3

2Blocked0

4Inside Box5

7Outside Box5

Passing

50%Possession50%

378Total Passes396

276Accurate Passes295

73%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

6Saves2

Discipline

16Fouls11

2Yellow Cards2

2Offsides3

Liga I: Unirea Slobozia 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj

CFR 1907 Cluj beat Unirea Slobozia 1-0 in Liga I on November 9, 2025.

Goals: A. Cordea (42').

Unirea Slobozia controlled possession (50%) and registered 11 shots to 10.

The match was played at May 1 Stadium in Slobozia.

Unirea Slobozia vs CFR 1907 Cluj — Liga I 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Liga I: Unirea Slobozia 0–1 CFR 1907 Cluj