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Unirea Slobozia vs CFR 1907 Cluj — Liga I 2026

Unirea Slobozia
Unirea Slobozia
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
CFR 1907 Cluj
CFR 1907 Cluj
F. Purece 36' (pen)
L. Munteanu 62' (pen)
12/15/2024Liga ILiga I · Round 20Clinceni - Arena 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 21+ matches

Unirea Slobozia35%
×Draw27%
CFR 1907 Cluj39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Unirea Slobozia
1.23
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.31

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 21 home / 26 away

creates per match

Unirea Slobozia
1.09
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.24

allows per match

Unirea Slobozia
1.37
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.36

finishing

Unirea Slobozia+0.05on par
CFR 1907 Cluj-0.01on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unirea Slobozia ↓

CFR 1907 Cluj →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Unirea Slobozia or draw
61%
Unirea Slobozia or CFR 1907 Cluj
73%
Draw or CFR 1907 Cluj
65%

Winning margin

Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+
15%
CFR 1907 Cluj wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals
71%
Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals
35%
Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals
13%
CFR 1907 Cluj 1+ goals
73%
CFR 1907 Cluj 2+ goals
38%
CFR 1907 Cluj 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)
47%
CFR 1907 Cluj (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unirea Slobozia at home — creates 1.09, concedes 1.37 · 21 matches

CFR 1907 Cluj away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.36 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unirea Slobozia attack 1.09 + CFR 1907 Cluj defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.23

CFR 1907 Cluj attack 1.24 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Unirea Slobozia scores more
35%
level
27%
CFR 1907 Cluj scores more
39%

CFR 1907 Cluj at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "CFR 1907 Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21
F. IbrianUnirea SloboziaUnirea Slobozia · D
7.6

Match Events

32'
Dmytro PospelovPenalty confirmed
36'
F. PurecePenalty
38'
Simão Rocha
51'
V. Mogoș← Simão Rocha
61'
Ionut Coada
62'
L. MunteanuPenalty
63'
S. Camara← F. Purece
65'
Dmytro Pospelov
67'
M. Kamara← A. Păun
67'
B. Nkololo← V. Postolachi
72'
D. Yusov← L. Vlăsceanu
81'
Léo Bolgado
84'
F. Ilie← A. Aganović
90+6'
Constantin Toma
90+4'
Mohammed Kamara
90'
P. Michael← M. Korenica

Possession

34%Unirea

Shots

7Unirea

Pass accuracy

43%Unirea

Statistics

UnireaCFR
Overview
34%Possession66%
7Total Shots14
1.47Expected Goals (xG)2.12
1Corners8
17Fouls18
Shots
7Total Shots14
1On Target3
2Off Target7
4Blocked4
3Inside Box8
4Outside Box6
Passing
34%Possession66%
231Total Passes431
139Accurate Passes339
60%Pass Accuracy79%
Goalkeeping
2Saves0
Discipline
17Fouls18
3Yellow Cards3
0Offsides1

Match Recap: Unirea Slobozia vs CFR 1907 Cluj

Unirea Slobozia and CFR 1907 Cluj drew 1-1 in Liga I on December 15, 2024.

Goals: F. Purece (36' pen), L. Munteanu (62' pen).

CFR 1907 Cluj controlled possession (66%) and registered 14 shots to 7.

The match was played at Clinceni - Arena 1 in Clinceni.