CFR 1907 Cluj 2–1 Unirea Slobozia: Result & Stats

CFR 1907 Cluj

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Unirea Slobozia

D. Dumbravanu 90'

V. Postolachi 15'

C. Afalna 45'

7/13/2025

Liga I · Round 1Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 24+ matches

CFR 1907 Cluj55%

×Draw24%

Unirea Slobozia22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CFR 1907 ClujExpected goals in this matchUnirea Slobozia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.73

0.99

CFR 1907 Cluj

1.73

Unirea Slobozia

0.99

CFR 1907 Cluj creates 75% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 24 away

1.56

creates per match

0.92

1.05

allows per match

1.90

creates per match

CFR 1907 Cluj

1.56

Unirea Slobozia

0.92

allows per match

CFR 1907 Cluj

1.05

Unirea Slobozia

1.90

+0.16scores more than expected

finishing

-0.13scores less than expected

finishing

CFR 1907 Cluj+0.16scores more

Unirea Slobozia-0.13scores less

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CFR 1907 Cluj ↓

Unirea Slobozia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

CFR 1907 Cluj or draw

78%

CFR 1907 Cluj or Unirea Slobozia

76%

Draw or Unirea Slobozia

45%

Winning margin

CFR 1907 Cluj wins by 2+

30%

Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

CFR 1907 Cluj 1+ goals

82%

CFR 1907 Cluj 2+ goals

52%

CFR 1907 Cluj 3+ goals

25%

Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals

63%

Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals

26%

Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

CFR 1907 Cluj (draw refunded)

72%

Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CFR 1907 Cluj at home — creates 1.56, concedes 1.05 · 25 matches

Unirea Slobozia away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.90 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CFR 1907 Cluj attack 1.56 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.90 → ÷2 → 1.73

Unirea Slobozia attack 0.92 + CFR 1907 Cluj defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

CFR 1907 Cluj scores more

55%

level

24%

Unirea Slobozia scores more

22%

CFR 1907 Cluj at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "CFR 1907 Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

S. Sinyan

CFR 1907 Cluj · D

7.6

Match Events

15'

V. Postolachi

45'

C. Afalna↳ A. Aganovic

46'

M. Gjorgjievski← V. Postolachi

46'

B. Nkololo← C. Deac

46'

C. Barbut← M. Lupu

46'

E. Florescu← I. Coada

60'

F. Purece← R. Deaconu

63'

M. Kamara← A. Tirlea

63'

V. Kun← A. Sfait

69'

A. Dragu← A. Aganovic

77'

A. Said← C. Afalna

81'

L. Emerllahu← D. Djokovic

82'

Eduard Florescu

90+12'

Marko Gjorgjievski

90+10'

Marko GjorgjievskiPenalty cancelled

90'

D. Dumbravanu↳ S. Sinyan

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CFRUnirea

Overview

60%Possession40%

10Total Shots12

1.48Expected Goals (xG)0.54

5Corners2

14Fouls16

Shots

10Total Shots12

4On Target3

5Off Target5

1Blocked4

7Inside Box5

3Outside Box7

Passing

60%Possession40%

466Total Passes312

361Accurate Passes219

77%Pass Accuracy70%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

14Fouls16

1Yellow Cards1

2Offsides1