Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Unie Hlubina vs Valašské Meziříčí — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Unie Hlubina
Unie Hlubina
FT
3 – 2
HT: 1 – 2
Valašské Meziříčí
Valašské Meziříčí
2/17/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Unie Hlubina79%
×Draw11%
Valašské Meziříčí10%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Unie Hlubina
3.97
Valašské Meziříčí
1.43

Unie Hlubina creates 178% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 7 away

creates per match

Unie Hlubina
3.80
Valašské Meziříčí
1.86

allows per match

Unie Hlubina
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
4.14

finishing

Unie Hlubina+0.00on par
Valašské Meziříčí+0.00on par

Total goals

89%Over
  • Over89
  • Under11

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unie Hlubina ↓

Valašské Meziříčí →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–02%
1–13%
1–22%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–05%
4–17%
4–25%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (8%) · grid covers 70% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
97%3%2.5
89%11%3.5
76%24%4.5
58%42%

Double chance

Unie Hlubina or draw
90%
Unie Hlubina or Valašské Meziříčí
89%
Draw or Valašské Meziříčí
21%

Winning margin

Unie Hlubina wins by 2+
63%
Valašské Meziříčí wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Unie Hlubina 1+ goals
98%
Unie Hlubina 2+ goals
89%
Unie Hlubina 3+ goals
73%
Valašské Meziříčí 1+ goals
76%
Valašské Meziříčí 2+ goals
42%
Valašské Meziříčí 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Unie Hlubina (draw refunded)
89%
Valašské Meziříčí (draw refunded)
11%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unie Hlubina at home — creates 3.80, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

Valašské Meziříčí away — creates 1.86, concedes 4.14 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unie Hlubina attack 3.80 + Valašské Meziříčí defence 4.14 → ÷2 → 3.97

Valašské Meziříčí attack 1.86 + Unie Hlubina defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 79%?"

Unie Hlubina scores more
79%
level
11%
Valašské Meziříčí scores more
10%

Unie Hlubina at 79% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 79% does not mean "Unie Hlubina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Unie Hlubina vs Valašské Meziříčí

Unie Hlubina beat Valašské Meziříčí 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on February 17, 2026.