Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Tychy 71 vs GKS Katowice — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Tychy 71
Tychy 71
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
1/19/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Boisko Tychy Falcons

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Tychy 7145%
×Draw25%
GKS Katowice30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tychy 71
1.54
GKS Katowice
1.20

Tychy 71 creates 28% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 7 away

creates per match

Tychy 71
1.65
GKS Katowice
1.00

allows per match

Tychy 71
1.40
GKS Katowice
1.43

finishing

Tychy 71+0.00on par
GKS Katowice+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tychy 71 ↓

GKS Katowice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Tychy 71 or draw
70%
Tychy 71 or GKS Katowice
75%
Draw or GKS Katowice
55%

Winning margin

Tychy 71 wins by 2+
23%
GKS Katowice wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Tychy 71 1+ goals
79%
Tychy 71 2+ goals
45%
Tychy 71 3+ goals
20%
GKS Katowice 1+ goals
70%
GKS Katowice 2+ goals
34%
GKS Katowice 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Tychy 71 (draw refunded)
60%
GKS Katowice (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tychy 71 at home — creates 1.65, concedes 1.40 · 20 matches

GKS Katowice away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tychy 71 attack 1.65 + GKS Katowice defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.54

GKS Katowice attack 1.00 + Tychy 71 defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Tychy 71 scores more
45%
level
25%
GKS Katowice scores more
30%

Tychy 71 at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Tychy 71 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Tychy 71 1–0 GKS Katowice

Tychy 71 beat GKS Katowice 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 19, 2024.

The match was played at Boisko Tychy Falcons in Tychy.