Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Torreense vs Sporting CP B — Segunda Liga 2018

Torreense
Torreense
Preview
16:00
Sporting CP B
Sporting CP B
12/6/2026Segunda LigaSegunda Liga · Round 13Estadio Manuel Marques
Big match
45%
Torreense
model favours
45%27%28%

Torreense sit 3, Sporting CP B 14 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
57%
under 2.5 goals
48%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Torreense45%
×Draw27%
Sporting CP B28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Torreense
1.38
Sporting CP B
1.02

Torreense creates 35% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 26 away

creates per match

Torreense
1.40
Sporting CP B
0.96

allows per match

Torreense
1.09
Sporting CP B
1.35

finishing

Torreense+0.00on par
Sporting CP B+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 57Over: 4357%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No: 52Yes: 4852%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Torreense ↓

Sporting CP B →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Torreense or draw
72%
Torreense or Sporting CP B
73%
Draw or Sporting CP B
55%

Winning margin

Torreense wins by 2+
21%
Sporting CP B wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Torreense 1+ goals
75%
Torreense 2+ goals
40%
Torreense 3+ goals
16%
Sporting CP B 1+ goals
64%
Sporting CP B 2+ goals
27%
Sporting CP B 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Torreense (draw refunded)
62%
Sporting CP B (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Torreense at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.09 · 68 matches

Sporting CP B away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.35 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Torreense attack 1.40 + Sporting CP B defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.38

Sporting CP B attack 0.96 + Torreense defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Torreense scores more
45%
level
27%
Sporting CP B scores more
28%

Torreense at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Torreense will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Torreense
Balanced
Sporting CP B
Balanced
49%PossessionBiggest gap55%
76%Pass accuracy82%
10.6Shots10.2
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
TorreenseSporting CP B

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

3
Torreense
0
Draws
2
Sporting CP B
Avg goals: 3.4BTTS: 60%
2–10–13–20–14–3

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Torreense
DDWL
B
DLLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Torreense host Sporting CP B

December 6, 2026: Torreense take on Sporting CP B in Segunda Liga. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Torreense host Sporting CP B at Estadio Manuel Marques.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.