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Torpedo Zhodino vs Belshina — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Torpedo Zhodino
Torpedo Zhodino
CANC
08:30
Belshina
Belshina
1/30/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Torpedo Zhodino55%
×Draw24%
Belshina20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Belshina
0.90

Torpedo Zhodino creates 86% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

creates per match

Torpedo Zhodino
1.13
Belshina
0.80

allows per match

Torpedo Zhodino
1.00
Belshina
2.20

finishing

Torpedo Zhodino+0.00on par
Belshina+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Torpedo Zhodino ↓

Belshina →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
47%53%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Torpedo Zhodino or draw
80%
Torpedo Zhodino or Belshina
76%
Draw or Belshina
45%

Winning margin

Torpedo Zhodino wins by 2+
30%
Belshina wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Torpedo Zhodino 1+ goals
81%
Torpedo Zhodino 2+ goals
50%
Torpedo Zhodino 3+ goals
23%
Belshina 1+ goals
59%
Belshina 2+ goals
23%
Belshina 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Torpedo Zhodino (draw refunded)
73%
Belshina (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Torpedo Zhodino at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Belshina away — creates 0.80, concedes 2.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Torpedo Zhodino attack 1.13 + Belshina defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 1.67

Belshina attack 0.80 + Torpedo Zhodino defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Torpedo Zhodino scores more
55%
level
24%
Belshina scores more
20%

Torpedo Zhodino at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Torpedo Zhodino will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Torpedo Zhodino host Belshina

January 30, 2023: Torpedo Zhodino take on Belshina in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.